» MLB Picks » Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians MLB Game Picks 6/4/2019

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians MLB Game Picks 6/4/2019

by Guy Bruhn - 6/3/2019

Tuesday, June 4, 2019

Progressive Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Devin Smeltzer vs. Shane Bieber

Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins (40-18, 1st in AL Central) go to Progressive Field on Tuesday where they'll take on the Cleveland Indians (29-30, 3rd in AL Central). The Twins open this matchup at +135 while the Indians are priced at -145. The total has been set at 8.5.

The Twins have been great for MLB wagerers, having gone 40-18-0 SU. The Indians cover 49.1% of the time, going 29-30-0 straight up. The Indians have been an inconsistent pick for MLB bettors as a favorite, going 21-23-0 SU. The Twins cover 62.5% of the time as the underdog, having gone 15-9-0 straight up.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a pretty good Over choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 30-26-2.

The Twins cover 70.0% of the time as a visitor, having gone 21-9-0 straight up.

Important Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

Cleveland is covering 51.7% of the time at Progressive Field, going 15-14-0 SU.

The Indians have been a rough Over choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 23-34-2.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

6/1/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
5/31/2019 Nelson Cruz DH Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/28/2019 Michael Pineda SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 8

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

6/2/2019 Dan Otero RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
6/1/2019 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 6
5/29/2019 Tyler Naquin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/28/2019 Mike Clevinger SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
5/28/2019 Danny Salazar SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/16/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
5/7/2019 Corey Kluber SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 21

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 40-18 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Devin Smeltzer has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.50 this season. He has 7 strikeouts over his 6 innings pitched and he's given up 3 hits. He's allowed 4.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 0.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.60 and they have given up 179 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 196 hitters and walked 74 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.88. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 478 base hits and 221 earned runs. They have allowed 68 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 159 batters and struck out 508. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.94.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .275, good for 1st in the league. The Twins hold a .511 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .338 with an on-base percentage of .405. He has 74 hits this season in 219 at bats with 30 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .584 and an OPS+ of 162. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .260 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .317. He has totaled 50 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 192 at bats. His OPS+ is 115 while his slugging percentage is at .500. The Twins have 550 hits, including 127 doubles and 109 home runs. Minnesota has walked 184 times so far this season and they have struck out 443 times as a unit. They have left 383 men on base and have a team OPS of .853. They score 5.98 runs per contest and have scored a total of 347 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cleveland has a 29-30 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.67, Shane Bieber has a 4-2 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 85 strikeouts over the 68.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 58 hits. He's allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.96. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.28 and they have given up 168 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 181 batters and walked 52 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 477 base knocks and 226 earned runs this season. They have given up 75 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 165 hitters and struck out 551 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .226, good for 28th in the league. The Indians hold a .369 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.3 hits per contest. Carlos Santana comes into this matchup batting .286 with an OBP of .405. He has 59 hits this year along with 37 RBI in 206 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .510 with an OPS+ of 140. Francisco Lindor is hitting .293 this season and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 46 hits in 157 at bats while driving in 20 runs. He has an OPS+ of 122 and a slugging percentage of .484. The Indians as a unit have 433 base hits, including 85 doubles and 61 homers. Cleveland has walked 225 times this year and they have struck out on 514 occasions. They have had 399 men left on base and have an OPS of .681. They have scored 3.97 runs per game and totaled 234 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Indians MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Indians -145

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less