Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/7/2019

Friday, June 7, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kyle Gibson vs. Matthew Boyd

Comerica Park is the venue where Nicholas Castellanos and the Detroit Tigers (23-35, 4th in AL Central) will take on the Minnesota Twins (40-20, 1st in AL Central) on Friday. The Tigers open this matchup at +120 while the Twins are priced at -130. The O/U has been set at 8.5.

The Twins have been an excellent choice for MLB bettors, having gone 40-20-0 SU. The Tigers cover 39.7% of the time, going 23-35-0 straight up. The Twins have been an excellent choice for MLB bettors as the favorite, going 25-10-0 SU. Detroit has went 16-29-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 35.6% of the time.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a dicey Under pick for over/under bettors, having gone 31-27-2.

Minnesota covers 65.6% of the time as a visitor, having gone 21-11-0 straight up.

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

Detroit covers 35.7% of the time at Comerica Park, going 10-18-0 SU.

The Tigers have been a bad Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 25-31-2.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

6/1/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
5/28/2019 Michael Pineda SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 8

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

6/5/2019 Jordan Zimmermann SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/5/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/4/2019 Jeimer Candelario 3B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/4/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
5/29/2019 Jordy Mercer SS Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 40-20 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kyle Gibson has a 6-2 record with an earned run average of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.22 this season. He has 63 strikeouts over his 62.1 innings pitched and he's given up 61 hits. He's allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.67 and they have given up 185 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 201 hitters and walked 76 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 495 base hits and 232 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 166 batters and struck out 516. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .272, good for 1st in the league. The Twins hold a .510 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.4 hits per game. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .262 with an on-base percentage of .318. He has 51 hits this season in 195 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .503 and an OPS+ of 115. Jorge Polanco is hitting .339 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .404. He has totaled 77 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 227 at bats. His OPS+ is 162 while his slugging percentage is at .590. The Twins have 562 hits, including 130 doubles and 114 home runs. Minnesota has walked 188 times so far this season and they have struck out 463 times as a unit. They have left 390 men on base and have a team OPS of .850. They score 5.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 356 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 23-35 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.01, Matthew Boyd has a 5-4 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 97 strikeouts over the 77.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 64 hits. He's allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.77. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.15 and they have given up 214 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 181 batters and walked 99 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.72. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 521 base knocks and 275 earned runs this season. They have given up 88 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 196 hitters and struck out 468 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.83.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .228, good for 27th in the league. The Tigers hold a .378 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Nicholas Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .263 with an OBP of .315. He has 60 hits this year along with 22 RBI in 228 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .452 with an OPS+ of 101. Niko Goodrum is hitting .244 this season and he has an OBP of .325. He has collected 49 hits in 201 at bats while driving in 18 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .413. The Tigers as a unit have 455 base hits, including 112 doubles and 52 homers. Detroit has walked 164 times this year and they have struck out on 580 occasions. They have had 393 men left on base and have an OPS of .668. They have scored 3.56 runs per game and totaled 210 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -130

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