Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/8/2019

Saturday, June 8, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kyle Gibson vs. Gregory Soto

Comerica Park is the venue where Niko Goodrum and the Detroit Tigers (23-36, 4th in AL Central) will play the Minnesota Twins (41-20, 1st in AL Central) on Saturday. The odds on this contest have the Twins coming in at -145 and the Tigers are at +135. The total opens at 9.5.

The Twins have been a great pick for bettors, having gone 41-20-0 SU. The Tigers are covering 39.0% of the time, going 23-36-0 straight up. The Twins have been lousy for Las Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 25-10-0 SU. The Tigers are covering 34.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 16-30-0 straight up.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a hot and cold Under bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 32-27-2.

Minnesota covers 66.7% of the time as the visitor, having gone 22-11-0 straight up.

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers are covering 34.5% of the time at Comerica Park, going 10-19-0 SU.

The Tigers have been a very good Under bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 25-32-2.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

6/6/2019 Michael Pineda SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 7
6/1/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 20

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

6/5/2019 Jordan Zimmermann SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/5/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/4/2019 Jeimer Candelario 3B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/4/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
5/29/2019 Jordy Mercer SS Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 41-20 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kyle Gibson has a 6-2 record with an earned run average of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.22 this season. He has 63 strikeouts over his 62.1 innings pitched and he's given up 61 hits. He's allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.69 and they have given up 187 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 204 hitters and walked 77 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.93. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 499 base hits and 235 earned runs. They have allowed 77 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 168 batters and struck out 525. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .271, good for 1st in the league. The Twins hold a .510 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .336 with an on-base percentage of .400. He has 78 hits this season in 232 at bats with 32 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .582 and an OPS+ of 159. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .256 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .312. He has totaled 51 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 199 at bats. His OPS+ is 111 while his slugging percentage is at .492. The Twins have 569 hits, including 131 doubles and 117 home runs. Minnesota has walked 191 times so far this season and they have struck out 471 times as a unit. They have left 397 men on base and have a team OPS of .848. They score 5.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 361 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 23-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 11.20, Gregory Soto has a 0-2 record and a 2.12 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 13.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 22 hits. He's allowing 14.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.20 and they have given up 217 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 184 batters and walked 100 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 535 base knocks and 281 earned runs this season. They have given up 91 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 198 hitters and struck out 477 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .228, good for 27th in the league. The Tigers hold a .376 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Niko Goodrum comes into this matchup batting .239 with an OBP of .319. He has 49 hits this year along with 18 RBI in 205 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .405 with an OPS+ of 91. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .263 this season and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 61 hits in 232 at bats while driving in 22 runs. He has an OPS+ of 101 and a slugging percentage of .453. The Tigers as a unit have 463 base hits, including 114 doubles and 52 homers. Detroit has walked 166 times this year and they have struck out on 587 occasions. They have had 400 men left on base and have an OPS of .667. They have scored 3.52 runs per game and totaled 211 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -145

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