Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/30/2019

Friday, August 30, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kyle Gibson vs. Drew VerHagen

Miguel Cabrera and the Detroit Tigers (39-91, 5th in AL Central) play the Minnesota Twins (81-51, 1st in AL Central) at Comerica Park on Friday, August 30, 2019. The Twins open this matchup at -195 while the Tigers are coming in at +182. The over/under is set at 10.

The Twins have been a very good choice for wagerers, having gone 81-51-0 SU. Detroit is covering 30.0% of the time, going 39-91-0 straight up.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a solid Over play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 68-57-7.

The Twins are covering 65.6% of the time as a visitor, having gone 42-22-0 straight up.

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers are covering 27.4% of the time at Comerica Park, going 17-45-0 SU.

The Tigers have been a less than ideal Over play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 59-62-9.

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Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

8/28/2019 Miguel Sano 3B Forearm Probable for Aug 29
8/28/2019 Max Kepler RF Knee Probable for Aug 29
8/28/2019 Marwin Gonzalez RF Abdomen Probable for Aug 29
8/27/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/16/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/6/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

8/28/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Out for the season
8/28/2019 Miguel Cabrera DH Biceps Probable for Aug 29
8/27/2019 Harold Castro 2B Calf Probable for Aug 29
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
8/14/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 81-51 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kyle Gibson has a 12-6 record with an earned run average of 4.49 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. He has 141 strikeouts over his 144.1 innings pitched and he's given up 147 hits. He's allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.05. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 454 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen and they've struck out 466 hitters and walked 152 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 1,172 base hits and 548 earned runs. They have allowed 162 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 371 batters and struck out 1,146. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .270, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .500 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .293 with an on-base percentage of .356. He has 152 hits this season in 519 at bats with 66 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .489 and an OPS+ of 121. Max Kepler is hitting .254 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 122 hits and he has driven in 86 men in 480 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .533. The Twins have 1,255 hits, including 266 doubles and 255 home runs. Minnesota has walked 414 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,071 times as a unit. They have left 893 men on base and have a team OPS of .837. They score 5.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 764 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 39-91 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.31, Drew VerHagen has a 4-2 record and a 1.68 WHIP. He has 34 strikeouts over the 35.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 43 hits. He's allowing 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.45. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 512 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 453 batters and walked 232 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.15. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,224 base knocks and 660 earned runs this season. They have given up 202 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 438 hitters and struck out 1,078 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.89.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 30th in the league. The Tigers hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .280 with an OBP of .343. He has 118 hits this year along with 50 RBI in 421 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .390 with an OPS+ of 93. Brandon Dixon is hitting .248 this season and he has an OBP of .287. He has collected 81 hits in 326 at bats while driving in 44 runs. He has an OPS+ of 88 and a slugging percentage of .445. The Tigers as a unit have 1,058 base hits, including 239 doubles and 121 homers. Detroit has walked 332 times this year and they have struck out on 1,298 occasions. They have had 872 men left on base and have an OPS of .679. They have scored 3.62 runs per game and totaled 471 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins (-195)

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