Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/1/2019

Sunday, September 1, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Michael Pineda vs. Spencer Turnbull

Comerica Park is the venue where Miguel Cabrera and the Detroit Tigers (39-93, 5th in AL Central) will take on the Minnesota Twins (83-51, 1st in AL Central) on Sunday. The Tigers open this matchup at +185 while the Twins are coming in at -200. The over/under is set at 9.5.

The Twins have been a strong choice for bettors, having gone 83-51-0 SU. Detroit is covering 29.5% of the time, going 39-93-0 straight up.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a rough Under option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 70-57-7.

Minnesota is covering 66.7% of the time away from home, having gone 44-22-0 straight up.

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

Detroit is covering 26.6% of the time at Comerica Park, going 17-47-0 SU.

The Tigers have been an inconsistent Under option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 60-63-9.

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Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

8/30/2019 Marwin Gonzalez RF Abdomen Probable for Aug 31
8/27/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/16/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/6/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

8/30/2019 Miguel Cabrera DH Biceps Probable for Aug 31
8/28/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Out for the season
8/14/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 83-51 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Michael Pineda has a 10-5 record with an earned run average of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.17 this season. He has 121 strikeouts over his 134 innings pitched and he's given up 132 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.22. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 461 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen and they've struck out 474 hitters and walked 152 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 1,205 base hits and 558 earned runs. They have allowed 164 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 375 batters and struck out 1,179. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.08.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .272, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .502 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.7 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .300 with an on-base percentage of .364. He has 160 hits this season in 534 at bats with 66 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .493 and an OPS+ of 125. Max Kepler is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .336. He has totaled 124 hits and he has driven in 87 men in 486 at bats. His OPS+ is 126 while his slugging percentage is at .535. The Twins have 1,297 hits, including 272 doubles and 262 home runs. Minnesota has walked 426 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,098 times as a unit. They have left 916 men on base and have a team OPS of .841. They score 5.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 795 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 39-93 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.18, Spencer Turnbull has a 3-13 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 112 strikeouts over the 120.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 120 hits. He's allowing 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.28. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.00 and they have given up 524 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 464 batters and walked 236 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.16. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,254 base knocks and 677 earned runs this season. They have given up 207 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 448 hitters and struck out 1,102 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 30th in the league. The Tigers hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .279 with an OBP of .341. He has 118 hits this year along with 50 RBI in 423 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .388 with an OPS+ of 92. Brandon Dixon is hitting .246 this season and he has an OBP of .286. He has collected 82 hits in 334 at bats while driving in 44 runs. He has an OPS+ of 87 and a slugging percentage of .437. The Tigers as a unit have 1,081 base hits, including 245 doubles and 124 homers. Detroit has walked 332 times this year and they have struck out on 1,329 occasions. They have had 883 men left on base and have an OPS of .678. They have scored 3.59 runs per game and totaled 478 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins (-200)

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