Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers MLB Picks 9/26/2019

Thursday, September 26, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Devin Smeltzer vs. Jordan Zimmermann

Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins (97-60, 1st in AL Central) head to Comerica Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Detroit Tigers (46-110, 5th in AL Central). The line on this matchup has the Twins coming in at -200 and the Tigers are at +185. The O/U is set at 9.5.

The Twins have been a very good pick for baseball wagerers, having gone 97-60-0 SU. The Tigers cover 29.5% of the time, going 46-110-0 straight up.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a hot and cold Under pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 79-71-7.

The Twins cover 67.1% of the time on the road, having gone 51-25-0 straight up.

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

Detroit is covering 27.9% of the time at Comerica Park, going 22-57-0 SU.

The Tigers have been a hot and cold Under pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 69-76-11.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/24/2019 Mitch Garver C Hip Probable for Sep 25
9/24/2019 Jake Odorizzi SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
9/24/2019 Max Kepler RF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/24/2019 Marwin Gonzalez RF Oblique Probable for Sep 25
9/22/2019 Ehire Adrianza SS Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/14/2019 Sam Dyson RP Biceps Out for the season
9/10/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Out for the season
9/1/2019 Sean Poppen RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/24/2019 Miguel Cabrera DH Knee Probable for Sep 25
9/24/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Out for the season
9/16/2019 Daniel Stumpf RP Elbow Out for the season
9/14/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/1/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 97-60 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Devin Smeltzer has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. He has 34 strikeouts over his 44 innings pitched and he's given up 40 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have given up 559 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the bullpen and they've struck out 597 hitters and walked 181 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 1,419 base hits and 666 earned runs. They have allowed 195 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 443 batters and struck out 1,415. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.07.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .270, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .493 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .296 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 184 hits this season in 621 at bats with 78 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .486 and an OPS+ of 121. Eddie Rosario is hitting .278 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .303. He has totaled 153 hits and he has driven in 106 men in 550 at bats. His OPS+ is 107 while his slugging percentage is at .502. The Twins have 1,499 hits, including 310 doubles and 297 home runs. Minnesota has walked 516 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,298 times as a unit. They have left 1,088 men on base and have a team OPS of .832. They score 5.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 910 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 46-110 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.85, Jordan Zimmermann has a 1-12 record and a 1.51 WHIP. He has 80 strikeouts over the 107.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 138 hits. He's allowing 11.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.92 and they have given up 638 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 588 batters and walked 286 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.25. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,511 base knocks and 811 earned runs this season. They have given up 242 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 523 hitters and struck out 1,321 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.85.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 25th in the league. The Tigers hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .285 with an OBP of .350. He has 136 hits this year along with 56 RBI in 478 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .391 with an OPS+ of 95. Brandon Dixon is hitting .246 this season and he has an OBP of .290. He has collected 94 hits in 382 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 86 and a slugging percentage of .432. The Tigers as a unit have 1,298 base hits, including 285 doubles and 145 homers. Detroit has walked 384 times this year and they have struck out on 1,548 occasions. They have had 1,042 men left on base and have an OPS of .685. They have scored 3.65 runs per game and totaled 569 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Twins (-200)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn