Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 4/3/2019

Wednesday, April 3, 2019

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kyle Gibson vs. Homer Bailey

The Minnesota Twins visit Kauffman Stadium on Wednesday, April 3, 2019 to play the Kansas City Royals. The probable starters are Kyle Gibson for the Twins and Homer Bailey for the Royals.

The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at -148 and Kansas City at +138. The Twins have a 1-2-0 over/under record and a 2-1-0 run line mark. The Royals are 2-1-0 against the run line and have a 2-1-0 over/under record.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 1-2-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 2-1-0 against the run line

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Kansas City Royals are 2-1-0 against the over/under

The Kansas City Royals are 2-1-0 against the run line

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 P Matt Magill Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

03/25/19 C Salvador Perez Elbow is out for season
03/25/19 P Trevor Oaks Hip 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Brian Flynn Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Danny Duffy Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Eric Skoglund Suspension 80 game suspension
03/25/19 P Jesse Hahn Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 2-1 overall record this season. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have given up 8 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen and they've struck out 13 hitters and walked 6 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 4 hits per nine innings while striking out 13 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 1.67. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 12 base hits and 5 earned runs. They have allowed 1 home run this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 10 batters and struck out 39. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 13 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 0.82 and their FIP as a unit is 1.77.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .231, good for 17th in the league. The Twins hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 7.0 hits per game. Nelson Cruz is hitting .364 with an on-base percentage of .462. He has 4 hits this season in 11 at bats with 3 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .727 and an OPS+ of 251. Marwin Gonzalez is hitting .143 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 1 hit and he has driven in 2 men in 7 at bats. His OPS+ is 89 while his slugging percentage is at .286. The Twins have 21 hits, including 9 doubles and 1 home run. Minnesota has walked 6 times so far this season and they have struck out 23 times as a unit. They have left 15 men on base and have a team OPS of .689. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 12 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 2-1 overall mark this year. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.71 and they have given up 11 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .289 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 6 batters and walked 8 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 5. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 25 base knocks and 15 earned runs this season. They have given up 4 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 11 hitters and struck out 22 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.70.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .219, good for 21st in the league. The Royals hold a .323 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 7.0 hits per contest. Whit Merrifield comes into this matchup batting .273 with an OBP of .385. He has 3 hits this year along with 2 RBI in 11 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .273 with an OPS+ of 102. Jorge Soler is hitting .455 this season and he has an OBP of .500. He has collected 5 hits in 11 at bats while driving in 5 runs. He has an OPS+ of 264 and a slugging percentage of .727. The Royals as a unit have 21 base hits, including 6 doubles. Kansas City has walked 9 times this year and they have struck out on 20 occasions. They have had 18 men left on base and have an OPS of .619. They have scored 5.33 runs per game and totaled 16 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -148

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