Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals MLB Game Picks 9/29/2019

Sunday, September 29, 2019

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Martin Perez vs. Jorge Lopez

Hunter Dozier and the Kansas City Royals (58-102, 4th in AL Central) host the Minnesota Twins (100-60, 1st in AL Central) at Kauffman Stadium on Sunday, September 29, 2019. The Twins open this contest at -190 while the Royals are priced at +178. The O/U opens at 10.5.

The Twins have been lousy for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 100-60-0 SU. The Royals cover 36.2% of the time, going 58-102-0 straight up.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a decent Over play for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 80-73-7.

Minnesota is covering 68.3% of the time as the away team, having gone 54-25-0 straight up.

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

Kansas City is covering 37.2% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 29-49-0 SU.

The Royals have been a decent Over play for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 82-72-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/27/2019 Max Kepler RF Shoulder Out for the season
9/27/2019 Marwin Gonzalez RF Oblique Probable for Sep 28
9/27/2019 Ehire Adrianza SS Oblique Probable for Sep 28
9/25/2019 Sam Dyson RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/10/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Out for the season
9/1/2019 Sean Poppen RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

9/27/2019 Bubba Starling CF Side Probable for Sep 28
9/27/2019 Cam Gallagher C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
9/27/2019 Nick Dini C Shoulder Probable for Sep 28
9/25/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Shoulder Out for the season
9/24/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Out for the season
9/18/2019 Jake Junis SP Rest Out for the season
9/12/2019 Kelvin Gutierrez 3B Toe Out for the season
8/29/2019 Brad Keller SP Rest Out for the season
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 100-60 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Martin Perez has a 10-7 record with an earned run average of 5.13 and a WHIP of 1.52 this season. He has 130 strikeouts over his 159.2 innings pitched and he's given up 179 hits. He's allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 563 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 606 hitters and walked 182 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 1,440 base hits and 672 earned runs. They have allowed 195 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 446 batters and struck out 1,443. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .270, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .494 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Eddie Rosario is hitting .278 with an on-base percentage of .302. He has 155 hits this season in 558 at bats with 109 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .504 and an OPS+ of 108. Jorge Polanco is hitting .297 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 186 hits and he has driven in 78 men in 626 at bats. His OPS+ is 122 while his slugging percentage is at .489. The Twins have 1,532 hits, including 312 doubles and 303 home runs. Minnesota has walked 524 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,320 times as a unit. They have left 1,107 men on base and have a team OPS of .833. They score 5.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 931 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 58-102 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.35, Jorge Lopez has a 4-9 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 106 strikeouts over the 117.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 134 hits. He's allowing 10.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.10 and they have given up 595 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 536 batters and walked 270 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.22. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,510 base knocks and 816 earned runs this season. They have given up 217 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 581 hitters and struck out 1,216 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.49 while their FIP as a staff is 4.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 17th in the league. The Royals hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Hunter Dozier comes into this matchup batting .281 with an OBP of .349. He has 145 hits this year along with 84 RBI in 516 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .523 with an OPS+ of 126. Whit Merrifield is hitting .301 this season and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 203 hits in 675 at bats while driving in 74 runs. He has an OPS+ of 111 and a slugging percentage of .462. The Royals as a unit have 1,340 base hits, including 278 doubles and 159 homers. Kansas City has walked 450 times this year and they have struck out on 1,385 occasions. They have had 1,043 men left on base and have an OPS of .709. They have scored 4.27 runs per game and totaled 683 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Royals (+178)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn