Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 5/21/2019

Tuesday, May 21, 2019

Angel Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Michael Pineda vs. Trevor Cahill

Mike Trout and the Los Angeles Angels (22-24, 2nd in AL West) play the Minnesota Twins (30-16, 1st in AL Central) at Angel Stadium on Tuesday, May 21, 2019. The Twins open this matchup at +107 while the Angels are priced at -117. The over/under opens at 9.5.

The Twins have been a strong option for MLB bettors, having gone 30-16-0 SU. The Angels are covering 47.8% of the time, going 22-24-0 straight up. The Angels have been a strong option for MLB bettors as favorites, going 14-8-0 SU. Minnesota has went 10-8-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 55.6% of the time.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a dicey Under play for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 24-21-1.

Minnesota is covering 65.2% of the time on the road, having gone 15-8-0 straight up.

Important Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends

The Angels are covering 61.9% of the time at Angel Stadium, going 13-8-0 SU.

The Angels have been a bad Over play for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 18-25-3.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

05/17/19 DH Nelson Cruz Wrist 10-day IL (05/14)
05/16/19 C Mitch Garver Ankle 10-day IL (05/15)
05/02/19 P Adalberto Mejia Calf 10-day IL (05/01)
03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Los Angeles Angels Injuries

05/13/19 P Luis Garcia Back 10-day IL (05/13)
04/23/19 LF Justin Upton Toe 60-day IL (04/23)
03/30/19 LF Michael Hermosillo Undisclosed 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Andrew Heaney Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P JC Ramirez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Keynan Middleton Elbow 60-day IL (03/16)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 30-16 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Michael Pineda has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 5.55 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 41 strikeouts over his 47 innings pitched and he's given up 54 hits. He's allowed 10.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.65. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.23 and they have given up 136 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 149 hitters and walked 61 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.9. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 383 base hits and 176 earned runs. They have allowed 56 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 129 batters and struck out 391. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .269, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .505 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .343 with an on-base percentage of .405. He has 60 hits this season in 175 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .606 and an OPS+ of 168. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .317. He has totaled 42 hits and he has driven in 25 men in 154 at bats. His OPS+ is 117 while his slugging percentage is at .506. The Twins have 423 hits, including 95 doubles and 87 home runs. Minnesota has walked 145 times so far this season and they have struck out 343 times as a unit. They have left 303 men on base and have a team OPS of .841. They score 5.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 262 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Los Angeles has a 22-24 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.95, Trevor Cahill has a 2-4 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 33 strikeouts over the 44 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 47 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.89. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 174 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Angels bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 221 batters and walked 87 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.78. The Angels pitchers as a team have surrendered 380 base knocks and 215 earned runs this season. They have given up 67 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 168 hitters and struck out 391 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.71.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 7th in the league. The Angels hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Mike Trout comes into this matchup batting .303 with an OBP of .471. He has 43 hits this year along with 27 RBI in 142 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .585 with an OPS+ of 185. Andrelton Simmons is hitting .299 this season and he has an OBP of .325. He has collected 55 hits in 184 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .418. The Angels as a unit have 395 base hits, including 76 doubles and 61 homers. Los Angeles has walked 164 times this year and they have struck out on 279 occasions. They have had 311 men left on base and have an OPS of .762. They have scored 4.83 runs per game and totaled 222 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Angels MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins +107

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