» MLB Picks » Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 5/22/2019

Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 5/22/2019

by Josh Schonwald - 5/21/2019

Wednesday, May 22, 2019

Angel Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Martin Perez vs. Matt Harvey

Angel Stadium is the site where Tommy La Stella and the Los Angeles Angels (22-25, 4th in AL West) will take on the Minnesota Twins (31-16, 1st in AL Central) on Wednesday. The line on this game has the Twins coming in at -120 and the Angels are at +100. The total has been set at 9.5.

The Twins have been an excellent bet for baseball wagerers, having gone 31-16-0 SU. The Angels are covering 46.8% of the time, going 22-25-0 straight up. The Twins have been lousy for oddsmakers as favorites, going 20-8-0 SU. Los Angeles has gone 8-16-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 33.3% of the time.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a less than ideal Under option for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 24-22-1.

Minnesota is covering 66.7% of the time as a visitor, having gone 16-8-0 straight up.

Important Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends

The Angels are covering 59.1% of the time at Angel Stadium, going 13-9-0 SU.

The Angels have been a great Under option for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 18-26-3.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

05/17/19 DH Nelson Cruz Wrist 10-day IL (05/14)
05/16/19 C Mitch Garver Ankle 10-day IL (05/15)
05/02/19 P Adalberto Mejia Calf 10-day IL (05/01)
03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Los Angeles Angels Injuries

05/20/19 SS Andrelton Simmons Ankle left last game, is questionable Tuesday vs Minnesota Twins
05/20/19 DH Shohei Ohtani Hand left last game, is questionable Tuesday vs Minnesota Twins
05/13/19 P Luis Garcia Back 10-day IL (05/13)
04/23/19 LF Justin Upton Toe 60-day IL (04/23)
03/30/19 LF Michael Hermosillo Undisclosed 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Andrew Heaney Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P JC Ramirez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Keynan Middleton Elbow 60-day IL (03/16)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 31-16 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Martin Perez has a 6-1 record with an earned run average of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.26 this season. He has 53 strikeouts over his 53 innings pitched and he's given up 45 hits. He's allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 139 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen and they've struck out 153 hitters and walked 62 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 389 base hits and 177 earned runs. They have allowed 56 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 132 batters and struck out 401. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.97.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .269, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .502 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .273 with an on-base percentage of .317. He has 42 hits this season in 154 at bats with 25 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .506 and an OPS+ of 117. Jorge Polanco is hitting .335 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .400. He has totaled 60 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 179 at bats. His OPS+ is 163 while his slugging percentage is at .592. The Twins have 433 hits, including 95 doubles and 88 home runs. Minnesota has walked 147 times so far this season and they have struck out 351 times as a unit. They have left 311 men on base and have a team OPS of .837. They score 5.64 runs per contest and have scored a total of 265 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Los Angeles has a 22-25 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.35, Matt Harvey has a 2-3 record and a 1.43 WHIP. He has 34 strikeouts over the 45.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 45 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.12. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 182 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Angels bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 229 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Angels pitchers as a team have surrendered 390 base knocks and 218 earned runs this season. They have given up 68 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 170 hitters and struck out 399 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.68.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .253, good for 11th in the league. The Angels hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Tommy La Stella comes into this matchup batting .310 with an OBP of .386. He has 40 hits this year along with 27 RBI in 129 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .581 with an OPS+ of 157. Mike Trout is hitting .288 this season and he has an OBP of .456. He has collected 42 hits in 146 at bats while driving in 27 runs. He has an OPS+ of 174 and a slugging percentage of .562. The Angels as a unit have 400 base hits, including 76 doubles and 61 homers. Los Angeles has walked 167 times this year and they have struck out on 289 occasions. They have had 319 men left on base and have an OPS of .754. They have scored 4.74 runs per game and totaled 223 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Angels MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -120

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less