Minnesota Twins at Miami Marlins MLB Picks 8/1/2019

Thursday, August 1, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Michael Pineda vs. Jordan Yamamoto

Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins (65-41, 1st in AL Central) travel to Marlins Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (41-64, 5th in NL East). The Twins open this matchup at -180 while the Marlins are coming in at +170. The over/under opens at 8.5.

The Twins have been very good for wagerers, having gone 65-41-0 SU. Miami is covering 39.1% of the time, going 41-64-0 straight up. The Twins have been very good for wagerers as favorites, going 44-27-0 SU. Miami is covering 37.0% of the time as the underdog, having gone 37-63-0 straight up.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a solid Over bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 53-48-5.

The Twins cover 63.0% of the time as the visitor, having gone 34-20-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

Miami is covering 38.2% of the time at Marlins Park, going 21-34-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a solid Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 46-54-5.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

7/30/2019 C.J 1B Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/28/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 19
7/24/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 13

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

7/30/2019 Garrett Cooper 1B Hamstring Probable for Jul 31
7/29/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/28/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/28/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/23/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/16/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/11/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 65-41 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Michael Pineda has a 7-5 record with an earned run average of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. He has 100 strikeouts over his 111 innings pitched and he's given up 109 hits. He's allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.24. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 357 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen and they've struck out 372 hitters and walked 131 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 4.03. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 922 base hits and 429 earned runs. They have allowed 132 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 300 batters and struck out 928. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.15.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .270, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .500 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .303 with an on-base percentage of .362. He has 128 hits this season in 423 at bats with 52 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .508 and an OPS+ of 128. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .303. He has totaled 82 hits and he has driven in 43 men in 322 at bats. His OPS+ is 100 while his slugging percentage is at .463. The Twins have 1,015 hits, including 216 doubles and 206 home runs. Minnesota has walked 335 times so far this season and they have struck out 852 times as a unit. They have left 732 men on base and have a team OPS of .837. They score 5.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 606 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 41-64 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.64, Jordan Yamamoto has a 4-2 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 41 strikeouts over the 42 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 21 hits. He's allowing 4.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 334 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 370 batters and walked 158 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 843 base knocks and 449 earned runs this season. They have given up 130 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 382 hitters and struck out 915 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .238, good for 27th in the league. The Marlins hold a .362 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Brian Anderson comes into this matchup batting .245 with an OBP of .324. He has 93 hits this year along with 48 RBI in 379 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .433 with an OPS+ of 102. Starlin Castro is hitting .250 this season and he has an OBP of .277. He has collected 104 hits in 416 at bats while driving in 43 runs. He has an OPS+ of 70 and a slugging percentage of .356. The Marlins as a unit have 843 base hits, including 164 doubles and 87 homers. Miami has walked 244 times this year and they have struck out on 940 occasions. They have had 671 men left on base and have an OPS of .655. They have scored 3.61 runs per game and totaled 379 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Twins -180

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