Minnesota Twins at New York Mets Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 4/9/2019

Tuesday, April 9, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kyle Gibson vs. Jacob deGrom

The Minnesota Twins visit Citi Field on Tuesday, April 9, 2019 to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Kyle Gibson for the Twins and Jacob deGrom for the Mets.

The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +170 and New York at -215. The Twins have a 4-4-0 over/under record and a 4-4-0 run line mark. The Mets are 6-3-0 against the run line and have a 7-2-0 over/under record.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 4-4-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 4-4-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 7-2-0 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 6-3-0 against the run line

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 P Matt Magill Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Key New York Mets Injuries

03/25/19 P Drew Smith Elbow 10-day IL (03/25); is out for season
03/25/19 2B Jed Lowrie Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 3B Todd Frazier Oblique 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 5-3 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kyle Gibson has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 9.64 and a WHIP of 2.14 this season. He has 2 strikeouts over his 4.2 innings pitched and he's given up 8 hits. He's allowed 15.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.70 and they have given up 26 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen and they've struck out 26 hitters and walked 17 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 6.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.3. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 53 base hits and 26 earned runs. They have allowed 6 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 30 batters and struck out 71. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.17 and their FIP as a unit is 3.44.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .256, good for 10th in the league. The Twins hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Willians Astudillo is hitting .500 with an on-base percentage of .529. He has 7 hits this season in 14 at bats with 4 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .929 and an OPS+ of 309. Nelson Cruz is hitting .316 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .480. He has totaled 6 hits and he has driven in 6 men in 19 at bats. His OPS+ is 203 while his slugging percentage is at .579. The Twins have 69 hits, including 18 doubles and 7 home runs. Minnesota has walked 23 times so far this season and they have struck out 61 times as a unit. They have left 56 men on base and have a team OPS of .747. They score 4.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 35 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 6-3 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 0.00, Jacob deGrom has a 2-0 record and a 0.77 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 13 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 8 hits. He's allowing 5.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at -0.24. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.93 and they have given up 35 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .280 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 35 batters and walked 16 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.5 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.48. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 77 base knocks and 40 earned runs this season. They have given up 9 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 33 hitters and struck out 94 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 3.63.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .270, good for 6th in the league. The Mets hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.7 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .382 with an OBP of .432. He has 13 hits this year along with 11 RBI in 34 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .824 with an OPS+ of 212. Wilson Ramos is hitting .400 this season and he has an OBP of .419. He has collected 12 hits in 30 at bats while driving in 6 runs. He has an OPS+ of 121 and a slugging percentage of .433. The Mets as a unit have 87 base hits, including 17 doubles and 11 homers. New York has walked 26 times this year and they have struck out on 99 occasions. They have had 65 men left on base and have an OPS of .778. They have scored 5.78 runs per game and totaled 52 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins +170

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