Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 5/4/2019

Saturday, May 4, 2019

Yankee Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi vs. J.A. Happ

The Minnesota Twins visit Yankee Stadium on Saturday, May 4, 2019 to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Jake Odorizzi for the Twins and J.A. Happ for the Yankees.

The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +140 and New York at -150. The Twins have a 16-13-0 over/under record and a 15-14-0 run line mark. The Yankees are 15-15-0 against the run line and have a 16-14-0 over/under record.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 16-13-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 15-14-0 against the run line

Important New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 16-14-0 against the over/under

The New York Yankees are 15-15-0 against the run line

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

05/02/19 P Adalberto Mejia Calf 10-day IL (05/01)
04/28/19 C Willians Astudillo Hamstring 10-day IL (04/28)
03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Key New York Yankees Injuries

05/02/19 2B DJ LeMahieu Knee is questionable Friday vs Minnesota Twins
04/24/19 LF Clint Frazier Ankle 10-day IL (04/23)
04/21/19 RF Aaron Judge Side 10-day IL (04/20)
04/17/19 1B Greg Bird Foot 10-day IL (04/14)
04/17/19 CF Jacoby Ellsbury Hip 60-day IL (03/25)
04/03/19 3B Miguel Andujar Shoulder is out indefinitely
04/03/19 SS Troy Tulowitzki Calf 10-day IL (04/03)
04/01/19 DH Giancarlo Stanton Biceps 10-day IL (04/01)
03/30/19 P Ben Heller Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 CF Aaron Hicks Back 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Dellin Betances Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 SS Didi Gregorius Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Jordan Montgomery Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)
03/25/19 P Luis Severino Shoulder 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 19-10 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.11 this season. He has 30 strikeouts over his 29.2 innings pitched and he's given up 22 hits. He's allowed 6.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.68 and they have given up 92 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 100 hitters and walked 50 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.2. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 245 base hits and 120 earned runs. They have allowed 33 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 91 batters and struck out 241. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .258, good for 7th in the league. The Twins hold a .498 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .336 with an on-base percentage of .405. He has 36 hits this season in 107 at bats with 11 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .636 and an OPS+ of 175. Eddie Rosario is hitting .223 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .275. He has totaled 25 hits and he has driven in 24 men in 112 at bats. His OPS+ is 117 while his slugging percentage is at .563. The Twins have 250 hits, including 65 doubles and 52 home runs. Minnesota has walked 85 times so far this season and they have struck out 214 times as a unit. They have left 171 men on base and have a team OPS of .822. They score 5.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 155 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 17-13 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.68, J.A. Happ has a 1-2 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 32.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 33 hits. He's allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 87 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 123 batters and walked 53 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.87. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 227 base knocks and 115 earned runs this season. They have given up 36 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 103 hitters and struck out 287 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.93.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 9th in the league. The Yankees hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Gleyber Torres comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .302. He has 32 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 118 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .466 with an OPS+ of 101. Luke Voit is hitting .277 this season and he has an OBP of .396. He has collected 31 hits in 112 at bats while driving in 26 runs. He has an OPS+ of 148 and a slugging percentage of .545. The Yankees as a unit have 261 base hits, including 47 doubles and 47 homers. New York has walked 120 times this year and they have struck out on 262 occasions. They have had 210 men left on base and have an OPS of .785. They have scored 5.27 runs per game and totaled 158 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins +140

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