Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/4/2019
Thursday, July 4, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jose Berrios vs. Tanner Anderson
Marcus Semien and the Oakland Athletics (47-39, 2nd in AL West) host the Minnesota Twins (53-31, 1st in AL Central) at Oakland Coliseum on Thursday, July 4, 2019. The Twins open this contest at -127 while the Athletics are priced at +117. The O/U is set at 10.
The Twins have been a great option for MLB wagerers, having gone 53-31-0 SU. Oakland covers 54.6% of the time, going 47-39-0 straight up. The Twins have been a great option for MLB wagerers as favorites, going 35-20-0 SU. Oakland has went 19-18-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 51.3% of the time.
Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins have been a strong Over play for over/under wagerers, having gone 44-35-5.
Minnesota covers 61.4% of the time as the away team, having gone 27-17-0 straight up.
Important Oakland Athletics Betting Trends
The Athletics cover 59.5% of the time at Oakland Coliseum, going 25-17-0 SU.
The Athletics have been a solid Under play for over/under wagerers, having gone 43-43-0.
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
7/3/2019 Jake Odorizzi SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/28/2019 Eddie Rosario LF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/27/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Key Oakland Athletics Injuries
7/2/2019 Marco Estrada SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
7/2/2019 Stephen Piscotty RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/30/2019 Blake Treinen RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/23/2019 Sean Manaea SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/18/2019 Nick Hundley C Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
6/10/2019 Jharel Cotton RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/15/2019 Daniel Gossett RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Twins have a 53-31 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Berrios has a 8-4 record with an earned run average of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.08 this season. He has 102 strikeouts over his 112 innings pitched and he's given up 101 hits. He's allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.27 and they have given up 267 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 278 hitters and walked 110 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 709 base hits and 333 earned runs. They have allowed 101 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 237 batters and struck out 727. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.10.
As a team Minnesota is hitting .270, good for 3rd in the league. The Twins hold a .497 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .319 with an on-base percentage of .377. He has 106 hits this season in 332 at bats with 39 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .518 and an OPS+ of 137. Max Kepler is hitting .268 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 80 hits and he has driven in 53 men in 299 at bats. His OPS+ is 132 while his slugging percentage is at .545. The Twins have 803 hits, including 173 doubles and 160 home runs. Minnesota has walked 255 times so far this season and they have struck out 672 times as a unit. They have left 572 men on base and have a team OPS of .832. They score 5.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 480 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Oakland has a 47-39 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 7.13, Tanner Anderson has a 0-3 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 17.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 21 hits. He's allowing 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.31. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have given up 290 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Athletics bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 318 batters and walked 126 opposing hitters. As a team, Oakland allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Athletics pitchers as a team have surrendered 716 base knocks and 360 earned runs this season. They have given up 98 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. Oakland as a staff has walked 282 hitters and struck out 683 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.
As a team, they are batting .247, good for 18th in the league. The Athletics hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Marcus Semien comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .351. He has 96 hits this year along with 42 RBI in 354 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .432 with an OPS+ of 113. Matt Chapman is hitting .266 this season and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 86 hits in 323 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .545. The Athletics as a unit have 740 base hits, including 157 doubles and 136 homers. Oakland has walked 289 times this year and they have struck out on 674 occasions. They have had 566 men left on base and have an OPS of .763. They have scored 5.08 runs per game and totaled 442 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Twins/Athletics MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -127
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