Minnesota Twins at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Game Picks 4/6/2019

Saturday, April 6, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Michael Pineda vs. Jake Arrieta

The Minnesota Twins visit Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, April 6, 2019 to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Michael Pineda for the Twins and Jake Arrieta for the Phillies.

The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +135 and Philadelphia at -145. The Twins have a 3-2-0 over/under record and a 2-3-0 run line mark. The Phillies are 4-1-0 against the run line and have a 4-1-0 over/under record.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 3-2-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 2-3-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 4-1-0 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 4-1-0 against the run line

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

04/03/19 CF Byron Buxton Back is upgraded to probable Friday vs Philadelphia Phillies
03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 P Matt Magill Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

03/25/19 CF Roman Quinn Oblique 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Tommy Hunter Forearm 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 4-1 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Michael Pineda has 5 strikeouts over his 4 innings pitched and he's given up 1 hit. He's allowed 2.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 1.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.70 and they have given up 12 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .197 against the bullpen and they've struck out 19 hitters and walked 8 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 6.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 2.74. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 31 base hits and 14 earned runs. They have allowed 4 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 14 batters and struck out 51. They have walked 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 0.98 and their FIP as a unit is 2.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .265, good for 6th in the league. The Twins hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .358, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Marwin Gonzalez is hitting .143 with an on-base percentage of .250. He has 2 hits this season in 14 at bats with 2 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .214 and an OPS+ of 40. Nelson Cruz is hitting .333 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .500. He has totaled 6 hits and he has driven in 6 men in 18 at bats. His OPS+ is 228 while his slugging percentage is at .611. The Twins have 44 hits, including 17 doubles and 2 home runs. Minnesota has walked 17 times so far this season and they have struck out 43 times as a unit. They have left 37 men on base and have a team OPS of .755. They score 4.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 24 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 4-1 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.50, Jake Arrieta has a 1-0 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 6 strikeouts over the 6 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 3 hits. He's allowing 4.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.44. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.19 and they have given up 19 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 19 batters and walked 9 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.3. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 40 base knocks and 21 earned runs this season. They have given up 7 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 24 hitters and struck out 48 batters. They give up a walk 4.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.53.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .269, good for 5th in the league. The Phillies hold a .527 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .388, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .188 with an OBP of .409. He has 3 hits this year along with 6 RBI in 16 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .438 with an OPS+ of 125. Maikel Franco is hitting .400 this season and he has an OBP of .591. He has collected 6 hits in 15 at bats while driving in 8 runs. He has an OPS+ of 311 and a slugging percentage of 1.000. The Phillies as a unit have 45 base hits, including 11 doubles and 10 homers. Philadelphia has walked 31 times this year and they have struck out on 46 occasions. They have had 36 men left on base and have an OPS of .915. They have scored 7.8 runs per game and totaled 39 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies -145

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