Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 5/17/2019

Friday, May 17, 2019

T-Mobile Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Martin Perez vs. Marco Gonzales

Domingo Santana and the Seattle Mariners (22-23, 2nd in AL West) play the Minnesota Twins (27-15, 1st in AL Central) at T-Mobile Park on Friday, May 17, 2019. The Mariners open this game at -110 while the Twins are coming in at +100. The total opens at 9.

The Twins have been a great bet for MLB wagerers, having gone 27-15-0 SU. The Mariners cover 48.9% of the time, going 22-23-0 straight up. The Mariners have been a great bet for MLB wagerers as a favorite, going 10-3-0 SU. Minnesota has went 10-8-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 55.6% of the time.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a pretty good Over choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 21-20-1.

Minnesota is covering 63.2% of the time as the visitor, having gone 12-7-0 straight up.

Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

Seattle is covering 45.0% of the time at T-Mobile Park, going 9-11-0 SU.

The Mariners have been a terrible Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 30-13-2.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

05/16/19 C Mitch Garver Ankle 10-day IL (05/15)
05/15/19 DH Nelson Cruz Wrist is questionable Thursday vs Seattle Mariners
05/12/19 P Martin Perez Foot left last game, is questionable for next start
05/02/19 P Adalberto Mejia Calf 10-day IL (05/01)
03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

05/16/19 2B Dee Gordon Hand is questionable Thursday vs Minnesota Twins
05/12/19 P Felix Hernandez Shoulder 10-day IL (05/12)
05/10/19 3B Dylan Moore Wrist 10-day IL (05/10)
04/15/19 P Wade LeBlanc Oblique 10-day IL (04/14)
04/11/19 3B Kyle Seager Hand 60-day IL (03/17)
04/02/19 P Hunter Strickland Side 60-day IL (04/02)
03/25/19 P Gerson Bautista Pectoral 10-day IL (03/17)
03/25/19 P Sam Tuivailala Achilles 10-day IL (03/17)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 27-15 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Martin Perez has a 5-1 record with an earned run average of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.25 this season. He has 46 strikeouts over his 46.1 innings pitched and he's given up 40 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.47. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 129 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen and they've struck out 136 hitters and walked 58 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.83. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 349 base hits and 158 earned runs. They have allowed 49 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 122 batters and struck out 353. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.01.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .262, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .281 with an on-base percentage of .326. He has 38 hits this season in 135 at bats with 18 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .496 and an OPS+ of 117. Jorge Polanco is hitting .331 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .398. He has totaled 52 hits and he has driven in 19 men in 157 at bats. His OPS+ is 169 while his slugging percentage is at .624. The Twins have 371 hits, including 87 doubles and 76 home runs. Minnesota has walked 133 times so far this season and they have struck out 309 times as a unit. They have left 276 men on base and have a team OPS of .827. They score 5.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 222 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Seattle has a 22-23 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.18, Marco Gonzales has a 5-2 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 42 strikeouts over the 56.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 57 hits. He's allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.39 and they have given up 153 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 173 batters and walked 96 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 418 base knocks and 212 earned runs this season. They have given up 71 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 150 hitters and struck out 362 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.82.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 19th in the league. The Mariners hold a .462 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Domingo Santana comes into this matchup batting .280 with an OBP of .349. He has 49 hits this year along with 37 RBI in 175 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .491 with an OPS+ of 130. Mitch Haniger is hitting .231 this season and he has an OBP of .322. He has collected 40 hits in 173 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .503. The Mariners as a unit have 373 base hits, including 81 doubles and 83 homers. Seattle has walked 173 times this year and they have struck out on 437 occasions. They have had 303 men left on base and have an OPS of .785. They have scored 5.33 runs per game and totaled 240 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Mariners MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins +100

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