Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 5/18/2019

Saturday, May 18, 2019

T-Mobile Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jose Berrios vs. Wade LeBlanc

T-Mobile Park is the venue where Mitch Haniger and the Seattle Mariners (22-24, 2nd in AL West) will take on the Minnesota Twins (28-15, 1st in AL Central) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Twins priced at -140 and the Mariners are at +130. The total is set at 8.5.

The Twins have been a very good option for wagerers, having gone 28-15-0 SU. The Mariners cover 47.8% of the time, going 22-24-0 straight up. The Twins have been a very good option for wagerers as a favorite, going 18-7-0 SU. The Mariners cover 36.4% of the time as the underdog, having gone 12-21-0 straight up.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a solid Over choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 22-20-1.

The Twins cover 65.0% of the time as a visitor, having gone 13-7-0 straight up.

Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

Seattle is covering 42.9% of the time at T-Mobile Park, going 9-12-0 SU.

The Mariners have been a terrible Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 31-13-2.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

05/17/19 P Martin Perez Foot is upgraded to probable for next scheduled start Friday vs Seattle Mariners
05/16/19 C Mitch Garver Ankle 10-day IL (05/15)
05/16/19 DH Nelson Cruz Wrist is questionable Friday vs Seattle Mariners
05/02/19 P Adalberto Mejia Calf 10-day IL (05/01)
03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

05/12/19 P Felix Hernandez Shoulder 10-day IL (05/12)
05/10/19 3B Dylan Moore Wrist 10-day IL (05/10)
04/15/19 P Wade LeBlanc Oblique 10-day IL (04/14)
04/11/19 3B Kyle Seager Hand 60-day IL (03/17)
04/02/19 P Hunter Strickland Side 60-day IL (04/02)
03/25/19 P Gerson Bautista Pectoral 10-day IL (03/17)
03/25/19 P Sam Tuivailala Achilles 10-day IL (03/17)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 28-15 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Berrios has a 6-2 record with an earned run average of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.09 this season. He has 54 strikeouts over his 59 innings pitched and he's given up 53 hits. He's allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 132 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the bullpen and they've struck out 137 hitters and walked 58 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.88. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 357 base hits and 164 earned runs. They have allowed 53 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 122 batters and struck out 360. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .265, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .501 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .333 with an on-base percentage of .398. He has 54 hits this season in 162 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .617 and an OPS+ of 167. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .271 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .315. He has totaled 38 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 140 at bats. His OPS+ is 109 while his slugging percentage is at .479. The Twins have 387 hits, including 89 doubles and 80 home runs. Minnesota has walked 134 times so far this season and they have struck out 319 times as a unit. They have left 283 men on base and have a team OPS of .835. They score 5.42 runs per contest and have scored a total of 233 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Seattle has a 22-24 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.50, Wade LeBlanc has a 2-0 record and a 1.63 WHIP. He has 12 strikeouts over the 16 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 21 hits. He's allowing 11.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.30 and they have given up 160 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 180 batters and walked 97 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.87. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 434 base knocks and 222 earned runs this season. They have given up 75 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 151 hitters and struck out 372 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.88.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 19th in the league. The Mariners hold a .465 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Mitch Haniger comes into this matchup batting .237 with an OBP of .325. He has 42 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 177 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .508 with an OPS+ of 126. Domingo Santana is hitting .275 this season and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 49 hits in 178 at bats while driving in 37 runs. He has an OPS+ of 126 and a slugging percentage of .483. The Mariners as a unit have 381 base hits, including 82 doubles and 87 homers. Seattle has walked 173 times this year and they have struck out on 444 occasions. They have had 306 men left on base and have an OPS of .786. They have scored 5.35 runs per game and totaled 246 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Mariners MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -140

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