Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 5/19/2019
Sunday, May 19, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Kyle Gibson vs. Yusei Kikuchi
Domingo Santana and the Seattle Mariners (22-25, 4th in AL West) play the Minnesota Twins (29-15, 1st in AL Central) at T-Mobile Park on Sunday, May 19, 2019. The Mariners open this game at +105 while the Twins are priced at -115. The total is set at 9.
The Twins have been a great play for MLB wagerers, having gone 29-15-0 SU. The Mariners cover 46.8% of the time, going 22-25-0 straight up. The Twins have been a great play for MLB wagerers as favorites, going 19-7-0 SU. The Mariners cover 35.3% of the time as an underdog, having gone 12-22-0 straight up.
Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins have been a hot and cold Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 22-21-1.
The Twins cover 66.7% of the time as a visitor, having gone 14-7-0 straight up.
Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Mariners cover 40.9% of the time at T-Mobile Park, going 9-13-0 SU.
The Mariners have been a very good Over option for O/U wagerers, having gone 31-14-2.
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
05/17/19 DH Nelson Cruz Wrist 10-day IL (05/14)
05/16/19 C Mitch Garver Ankle 10-day IL (05/15)
05/02/19 P Adalberto Mejia Calf 10-day IL (05/01)
03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
Key Seattle Mariners Injuries
05/12/19 P Felix Hernandez Shoulder 10-day IL (05/12)
05/10/19 3B Dylan Moore Wrist 10-day IL (05/10)
04/11/19 3B Kyle Seager Hand 60-day IL (03/17)
04/02/19 P Hunter Strickland Side 60-day IL (04/02)
03/25/19 P Gerson Bautista Pectoral 10-day IL (03/17)
03/25/19 P Sam Tuivailala Achilles 10-day IL (03/17)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Twins have a 29-15 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kyle Gibson has a 4-1 record with an earned run average of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.22 this season. He has 45 strikeouts over his 44.1 innings pitched and he's given up 41 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.23 and they have given up 132 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 139 hitters and walked 59 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.82. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 362 base hits and 165 earned runs. They have allowed 53 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 127 batters and struck out 369. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.09.
As a team Minnesota is hitting .266, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .499 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .269 with an on-base percentage of .312. He has 39 hits this season in 145 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .476 and an OPS+ of 107. Jorge Polanco is hitting .331 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .398. He has totaled 55 hits and he has driven in 20 men in 166 at bats. His OPS+ is 165 while his slugging percentage is at .608. The Twins have 397 hits, including 90 doubles and 81 home runs. Minnesota has walked 136 times so far this season and they have struck out 328 times as a unit. They have left 288 men on base and have a team OPS of .832. They score 5.45 runs per contest and have scored a total of 240 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Seattle has a 22-25 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.64, Yusei Kikuchi has a 2-1 record and a 1.07 WHIP. He has 43 strikeouts over the 54.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 46 hits. He's allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.23 and they have given up 162 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 186 batters and walked 97 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 444 base knocks and 228 earned runs this season. They have given up 76 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 153 hitters and struck out 381 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.85.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 21st in the league. The Mariners hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Domingo Santana comes into this matchup batting .269 with an OBP of .340. He has 49 hits this year along with 37 RBI in 182 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .473 with an OPS+ of 122. Mitch Haniger is hitting .236 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 42 hits in 178 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 128 and a slugging percentage of .506. The Mariners as a unit have 386 base hits, including 84 doubles and 87 homers. Seattle has walked 178 times this year and they have struck out on 453 occasions. They have had 314 men left on base and have an OPS of .781. They have scored 5.26 runs per game and totaled 247 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Twins/Mariners MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -115
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