New York Mets at Atlanta Braves MLB Game Picks 4/11/2019

Thursday, April 11, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Kyle Wright

The New York Mets visit SunTrust Park on Thursday, April 11, 2019 to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Steven Matz for the Mets and Kyle Wright for the Braves.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at +115 and Atlanta at -125. The Mets have a 8-2-0 over/under record and a 6-4-0 run line mark. The Braves are 6-5-0 against the run line and have a 5-6-0 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 8-2-0 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 6-4-0 against the run line

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 5-6-0 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 6-5-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

03/25/19 P Drew Smith Elbow 10-day IL (03/25); is out for season
03/25/19 2B Jed Lowrie Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 3B Todd Frazier Oblique 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

04/07/19 C Brian McCann Hamstring 10-day IL (04/07)
03/25/19 P Darren O'Day Arm 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 6-4 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 0.87 and a WHIP of 1.16 this season. He has 11 strikeouts over his 10.1 innings pitched and he's given up 8 hits. He's allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.37 and they have given up 44 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .293 against the bullpen and they've struck out 39 hitters and walked 17 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.2 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 5.14. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 94 base hits and 51 earned runs. They have allowed 15 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 35 batters and struck out 101. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .272, good for 6th in the league. The Mets hold a .464 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .385 with an on-base percentage of .429. He has 15 hits this season in 39 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .923 and an OPS+ of 233. Michael Conforto is hitting .375 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .457. He has totaled 15 hits and he has driven in 5 men in 40 at bats. His OPS+ is 191 while his slugging percentage is at .700. The Mets have 98 hits, including 20 doubles and 15 home runs. New York has walked 33 times so far this season and they have struck out 107 times as a unit. They have left 75 men on base and have a team OPS of .811. They score 6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 60 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 7-4 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.35, Kyle Wright has a 0-1 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 8 strikeouts over the 10.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 7 hits. He's allowing 6.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.34. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.54 and they have given up 35 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 39 batters and walked 21 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 80 base knocks and 44 earned runs this season. They have given up 17 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 48 hitters and struck out 88 batters. They give up a walk 4.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 5.14.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .366, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Dansby Swanson comes into this matchup batting .324 with an OBP of .419. He has 11 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 34 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .765 with an OPS+ of 196. Freddie Freeman is hitting .400 this season and he has an OBP of .520. He has collected 16 hits in 40 at bats while driving in 6 runs. He has an OPS+ of 183 and a slugging percentage of .575. The Braves as a unit have 95 base hits, including 17 doubles and 14 homers. Atlanta has walked 56 times this year and they have struck out on 85 occasions. They have had 85 men left on base and have an OPS of .805. They have scored 5.36 runs per game and totaled 59 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Braves -125

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn