» MLB Picks » New York Mets at Chicago Cubs MLB Tips 6/20/2019

New York Mets at Chicago Cubs MLB Tips 6/20/2019

by Josh Schonwald - 6/19/2019

Thursday, June 20, 2019

Wrigley Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Wilmer Font vs. Tyler Chatwood

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (35-38, 3rd in NL East) are headed to Wrigley Field on Thursday where they'll meet the Chicago Cubs (39-33, 2nd in NL Central). The moneyline on this matchup has the Mets coming in at +129 and the Cubs are at -139. The over/under opens at 9.

The Mets have been hot and cold for baseball wagerers, having gone 35-38-0 SU. The Cubs cover 54.2% of the time, going 39-33-0 straight up. The Cubs have been lousy for Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 32-15-0 SU. The Mets cover 39.4% of the time as an underdog, having gone 13-20-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been an awful Under option for over/under wagerers, having gone 39-27-7.

New York is covering 38.5% of the time on the road, having gone 15-24-0 straight up.

Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

Chicago is covering 66.7% of the time at Wrigley Field, going 24-12-0 SU.

The Cubs have been a good Over option for over/under wagerers, having gone 37-34-1.

Key New York Mets Injuries

6/18/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/18/2019 Justin Wilson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 24
6/18/2019 Jeurys Familia RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/16/2019 Noah Syndergaard SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 26
6/5/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/29/2019 Luis Avilan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

6/18/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
6/18/2019 Tony Barnette RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/18/2019 Kyle Hendricks SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Carl Edwards RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 29
6/7/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/2/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 8
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 35-38 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Wilmer Font has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 4.98 and a WHIP of 1.37 this season. He has 30 strikeouts over his 34.1 innings pitched and he's given up 33 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.54. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.45 and they have given up 246 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen and they've struck out 244 hitters and walked 114 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 647 base hits and 337 earned runs. They have allowed 95 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 242 batters and struck out 673. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.24.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .252, good for 15th in the league. The Mets hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .274 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 72 hits this season in 263 at bats with 57 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .624 and an OPS+ of 161. Amed Rosario is hitting .245 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .285. He has totaled 67 hits and he has driven in 37 men in 274 at bats. His OPS+ is 86 while his slugging percentage is at .405. The Mets have 635 hits, including 124 doubles and 100 home runs. New York has walked 244 times so far this season and they have struck out 666 times as a unit. They have left 509 men on base and have a team OPS of .753. They score 4.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 347 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 39-33 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.60, Tyler Chatwood has a 3-1 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 29 strikeouts over the 35 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 30 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 209 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 230 batters and walked 120 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.88. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 595 base knocks and 278 earned runs this season. They have given up 80 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 256 hitters and struck out 623 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.14.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 16th in the league. The Cubs hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .282 with an OBP of .397. He has 71 hits this year along with 38 RBI in 252 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .544 with an OPS+ of 141. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .280 this season and he has an OBP of .389. He has collected 71 hits in 254 at bats while driving in 51 runs. He has an OPS+ of 141 and a slugging percentage of .555. The Cubs as a unit have 611 base hits, including 114 doubles and 114 homers. Chicago has walked 284 times this year and they have struck out on 646 occasions. They have had 501 men left on base and have an OPS of .782. They have scored 5.06 runs per game and totaled 364 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Cubs -139

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