New York Mets at Chicago White Sox Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/1/2019
Thursday, August 1, 2019
Guaranteed Rate Field
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Zack Wheeler vs. Dylan Cease
Amed Rosario and the New York Mets (51-55, 4th in NL East) head to Guaranteed Rate Field on Thursday where they'll take on the Chicago White Sox (46-58, 3rd in AL Central). The line on this game has the Mets priced at -151 and the White Sox are at +141. The over/under has been set at 10.
The Mets have been a dicey option for MLB wagerers, having gone 51-55-0 SU. Chicago covers 44.2% of the time, going 46-58-0 straight up. The Mets have been terrible for Las Vegas oddsmakers as a favorite, going 31-25-0 SU. The White Sox are covering 36.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 28-48-0 straight up.
Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have been an awful Under bet for over/under bettors, having gone 53-43-10.
New York covers 39.7% of the time as the road team, having gone 23-35-0 straight up.
Important Chicago White Sox Betting Trends
Chicago covers 50.9% of the time at Guaranteed Rate Field, going 27-26-0 SU.
The White Sox have been a decent Under bet for over/under bettors, having gone 49-52-3.
Key New York Mets Injuries
7/28/2019 Dominic Smith 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/27/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/12/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Chicago White Sox Injuries
7/30/2019 Yoan Moncada 3B Hamstring Probable for Jul 31
7/25/2019 Manny Banuelos SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
7/20/2019 Kelvin Herrera RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/8/2019 Ryan Burr RP Elbow Out for the season
6/7/2019 Carlos Rodon SP Elbow Out for the season
5/13/2019 Nate Jones RP Forearm Out for the season
3/11/2019 Michael Kopech SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Mets have a 51-55 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler has a 7-6 record with an earned run average of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.27 this season. He has 137 strikeouts over his 124.1 innings pitched and he's given up 124 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.65. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.27 and they have given up 362 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen and they've struck out 358 hitters and walked 164 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 938 base hits and 480 earned runs. They have allowed 138 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 350 batters and struck out 983. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.28.
As a team New York is hitting .252, good for 15th in the league. The Mets hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Amed Rosario is hitting .277 with an on-base percentage of .318. He has 108 hits this season in 390 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .444 and an OPS+ of 102. Pete Alonso is hitting .260 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 99 hits and he has driven in 77 men in 381 at bats. His OPS+ is 152 while his slugging percentage is at .593. The Mets have 930 hits, including 176 doubles and 153 home runs. New York has walked 339 times so far this season and they have struck out 935 times as a unit. They have left 742 men on base and have a team OPS of .755. They score 4.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 499 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Chicago has a 46-58 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.86, Dylan Cease has a 1-3 record and a 1.62 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 21 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 22 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.56. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 339 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the White Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 323 batters and walked 161 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.05. The White Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 931 base knocks and 507 earned runs this season. They have given up 154 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 368 hitters and struck out 813 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.98.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 13th in the league. The White Sox hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Yoan Moncada comes into this matchup batting .301 with an OBP of .358. He has 112 hits this year along with 59 RBI in 372 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .535 with an OPS+ of 134. Jose Abreu is hitting .263 this season and he has an OBP of .300. He has collected 109 hits in 415 at bats while driving in 72 runs. He has an OPS+ of 102 and a slugging percentage of .475. The White Sox as a unit have 887 base hits, including 152 doubles and 117 homers. Chicago has walked 245 times this year and they have struck out on 988 occasions. They have had 679 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They have scored 4.14 runs per game and totaled 431 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Mets/White Sox MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Mets -151
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