New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds MLB Tips 9/20/2019

Friday, September 20, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Luis Castillo

Amed Rosario and the New York Mets (79-73, 4th in NL East) travel to Great American Ball Park on Friday where they'll take on the Cincinnati Reds (72-81, 4th in NL Central). The Mets open this game at -150 while the Reds are coming in at +140. The total opens at 8.

The Mets have been a good choice for baseball bettors, having gone 79-73-0 SU. The Reds are covering 47.1% of the time, going 72-81-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been a solid Over pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 71-66-15.

New York covers 46.2% of the time away from home, having gone 36-42-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds are covering 53.4% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 39-34-0 SU.

The Reds have been an inconsistent Over pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 58-89-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/7/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/18/2019 Freddy Galvis 2B Knee Probable for Sep 16
9/16/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/16/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/12/2019 Nick Senzel CF Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 79-73 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 9-8 record with an earned run average of 2.61 and a WHIP of 1.01 this season. He has 239 strikeouts over his 190 innings pitched and he's given up 148 hits. He's allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.79. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 490 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen and they've struck out 519 hitters and walked 215 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1,325 base hits and 658 earned runs. They have allowed 190 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 475 batters and struck out 1,415. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .258, good for 9th in the league. The Mets hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Amed Rosario is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .324. He has 166 hits this season in 579 at bats with 64 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .427 and an OPS+ of 101. Pete Alonso is hitting .266 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 148 hits and he has driven in 113 men in 556 at bats. His OPS+ is 152 while his slugging percentage is at .590. The Mets have 1,360 hits, including 259 doubles and 225 home runs. New York has walked 481 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,285 times as a unit. They have left 1,058 men on base and have a team OPS of .769. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 740 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 72-81 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.22, Luis Castillo has a 15-6 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He has 211 strikeouts over the 178.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 131 hits. He's allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.63. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.44 and they have given up 461 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 565 batters and walked 221 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,203 base knocks and 629 earned runs this season. They have given up 202 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 506 hitters and struck out 1,469 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.22.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 23rd in the league. The Reds hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Jose Iglesias comes into this matchup batting .288 with an OBP of .315. He has 137 hits this year along with 54 RBI in 475 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .411 with an OPS+ of 84. Joey Votto is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 133 hits in 498 at bats while driving in 47 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .422. The Reds as a unit have 1,256 base hits, including 216 doubles and 218 homers. Cincinnati has walked 455 times this year and they have struck out on 1,353 occasions. They have had 992 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They have scored 4.41 runs per game and totaled 675 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds (+140)

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