New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds MLB Tips 9/21/2019
Saturday, September 21, 2019
Great American Ball Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Zack Wheeler vs. Anthony DeSclafani
Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (79-73, 3rd in NL East) are headed to Great American Ball Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Cincinnati Reds (72-81, 4th in NL Central). The Mets open this contest at -134 while the Reds are coming in at +124. The O/U is set at 9.
The Mets have been solid for MLB wagerers, having gone 79-73-0 SU. Cincinnati covers 47.1% of the time, going 72-81-0 straight up.
Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have been a pretty good Over option for O/U bettors, having gone 71-66-15.
New York covers 46.2% of the time as the visitor, having gone 36-42-0 straight up.
Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Reds are covering 53.4% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 39-34-0 SU.
The Reds have been a good Under option for O/U bettors, having gone 58-89-6.
Key New York Mets Injuries
9/7/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries
9/18/2019 Freddy Galvis 2B Knee Probable for Sep 20
9/16/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/16/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/12/2019 Nick Senzel CF Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Mets have a 79-73 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler has a 11-7 record with an earned run average of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.29 this season. He has 179 strikeouts over his 180.1 innings pitched and he's given up 184 hits. He's allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 490 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen and they've struck out 519 hitters and walked 215 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1,325 base hits and 658 earned runs. They have allowed 190 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 475 batters and struck out 1,415. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.12.
As a team New York is hitting .258, good for 9th in the league. The Mets hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .266 with an on-base percentage of .366. He has 148 hits this season in 556 at bats with 113 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .590 and an OPS+ of 152. Amed Rosario is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .324. He has totaled 166 hits and he has driven in 64 men in 579 at bats. His OPS+ is 101 while his slugging percentage is at .427. The Mets have 1,360 hits, including 259 doubles and 225 home runs. New York has walked 481 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,285 times as a unit. They have left 1,058 men on base and have a team OPS of .769. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 740 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Cincinnati has a 72-81 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.93, Anthony DeSclafani has a 9-9 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 155 strikeouts over the 155.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 140 hits. He's allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.53. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.44 and they have given up 461 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 565 batters and walked 221 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,203 base knocks and 629 earned runs this season. They have given up 202 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 506 hitters and struck out 1,469 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.22.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 24th in the league. The Reds hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .267 with an OBP of .360. He has 133 hits this year along with 47 RBI in 498 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .422 with an OPS+ of 101. Jose Iglesias is hitting .288 this season and he has an OBP of .315. He has collected 137 hits in 475 at bats while driving in 54 runs. He has an OPS+ of 85 and a slugging percentage of .411. The Reds as a unit have 1,256 base hits, including 216 doubles and 218 homers. Cincinnati has walked 455 times this year and they have struck out on 1,353 occasions. They have had 992 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They have scored 4.41 runs per game and totaled 675 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Mets/Reds MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Reds (+124)
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