New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds MLB Tips 9/22/2019

Sunday, September 22, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Trevor Bauer

Amed Rosario and the New York Mets (80-73, 3rd in NL East) travel to Great American Ball Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Cincinnati Reds (72-82, 4th in NL Central). The Mets open this game at -110 while the Reds are coming in at +100. The total opens at 9.

The Mets have been a pretty good pick for MLB wagerers, having gone 80-73-0 SU. The Reds are covering 46.8% of the time, going 72-82-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been a decent Over option for O/U wagerers, having gone 72-66-15.

The Mets are covering 46.8% of the time as the away team, having gone 37-42-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds are covering 52.7% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 39-35-0 SU.

The Reds have been an inconsistent Over option for O/U wagerers, having gone 59-89-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/7/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/20/2019 Freddy Galvis 2B Knee Probable for Sep 21
9/16/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/16/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/12/2019 Nick Senzel CF Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 80-73 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 10-9 record with an earned run average of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. He has 143 strikeouts over his 149.1 innings pitched and he's given up 152 hits. He's allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.54. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 493 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen and they've struck out 521 hitters and walked 216 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1,332 base hits and 659 earned runs. They have allowed 191 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 476 batters and struck out 1,426. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .258, good for 9th in the league. The Mets hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Amed Rosario is hitting .286 with an on-base percentage of .323. He has 167 hits this season in 583 at bats with 66 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .431 and an OPS+ of 101. Pete Alonso is hitting .266 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 149 hits and he has driven in 115 men in 560 at bats. His OPS+ is 152 while his slugging percentage is at .593. The Mets have 1,370 hits, including 261 doubles and 228 home runs. New York has walked 487 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,294 times as a unit. They have left 1,066 men on base and have a team OPS of .771. They score 4.89 runs per contest and have scored a total of 748 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 72-82 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.41, Trevor Bauer has a 11-12 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 245 strikeouts over the 206 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 178 hits. He's allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 468 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 567 batters and walked 224 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,213 base knocks and 637 earned runs this season. They have given up 205 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 512 hitters and struck out 1,478 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 24th in the league. The Reds hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Jose Iglesias comes into this matchup batting .287 with an OBP of .313. He has 137 hits this year along with 54 RBI in 478 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .408 with an OPS+ of 83. Joey Votto is hitting .265 this season and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 133 hits in 501 at bats while driving in 47 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .419. The Reds as a unit have 1,263 base hits, including 216 doubles and 219 homers. Cincinnati has walked 456 times this year and they have struck out on 1,364 occasions. They have had 998 men left on base and have an OPS of .738. They have scored 4.39 runs per game and totaled 676 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds (+100)

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