New York Mets at Colorado Rockies Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/16/2019

Monday, September 16, 2019

Coors Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Antonio Senzatela

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (77-71, 3rd in NL East) are headed to Coors Field on Monday where they'll take on the Colorado Rockies (64-85, 5th in NL West). The Rockies open this game at +125 while the Mets are priced at -135. The O/U opens at 13.5.

The Mets have been good for MLB bettors, having gone 77-71-0 SU. The Rockies cover 43.0% of the time, going 64-85-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been a less than ideal Under pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 71-62-15.

The Mets cover 45.3% of the time as the away team, having gone 34-41-0 straight up.

Important Colorado Rockies Betting Trends

Colorado covers 51.3% of the time at Coors Field, going 38-36-0 SU.

The Rockies have been a less than ideal Under pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 73-70-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/7/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Colorado Rockies Injuries

9/14/2019 Raimel Tapia LF Knee Probable for Sep 15
9/13/2019 David Dahl CF Ankle Out for the season
9/11/2019 Kyle Freeland SP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/11/2019 Tyler Anderson SP Knee Out for the season
9/2/2019 German Marquez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/27/2019 Chad Bettis RP Hip Out for the season
8/22/2019 Jon Gray SP Foot Out for the season
8/19/2019 Scott Oberg RP Arm Out for the season
7/17/2019 Brendan Rodgers 2B Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 77-71 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 10-8 record with an earned run average of 3.84 and a WHIP of 1.31 this season. He has 139 strikeouts over his 145.1 innings pitched and he's given up 146 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.41. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.16 and they have given up 477 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen and they've struck out 508 hitters and walked 212 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1,286 base hits and 641 earned runs. They have allowed 185 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 467 batters and struck out 1,378. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.13.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .258, good for 9th in the league. The Mets hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .262 with an on-base percentage of .363. He has 142 hits this season in 541 at bats with 109 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .582 and an OPS+ of 148. Amed Rosario is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 162 hits and he has driven in 61 men in 564 at bats. His OPS+ is 100 while his slugging percentage is at .424. The Mets have 1,326 hits, including 255 doubles and 218 home runs. New York has walked 466 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,263 times as a unit. They have left 1,035 men on base and have a team OPS of .769. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 721 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Colorado has a 64-85 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.87, Antonio Senzatela has a 9-10 record and a 1.75 WHIP. He has 62 strikeouts over the 108.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 139 hits. He's allowing 11.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.36. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.21 and they have given up 558 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Rockies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 501 batters and walked 237 opposing hitters. As a team, Colorado allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.63. The Rockies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,451 base knocks and 828 earned runs this season. They have given up 244 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Colorado as a staff has walked 535 hitters and struck out 1,159 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.50 while their FIP as a staff is 5.18.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .266, good for 6th in the league. The Rockies hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Charlie Blackmon comes into this matchup batting .317 with an OBP of .362. He has 171 hits this year along with 78 RBI in 540 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .574 with an OPS+ of 121. Nolan Arenado is hitting .315 this season and he has an OBP of .380. He has collected 173 hits in 550 at bats while driving in 116 runs. He has an OPS+ of 130 and a slugging percentage of .595. The Rockies as a unit have 1,377 base hits, including 310 doubles and 196 homers. Colorado has walked 442 times this year and they have struck out on 1,365 occasions. They have had 976 men left on base and have an OPS of .780. They have scored 5.15 runs per game and totaled 768 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Rockies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets (-135)

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