New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Game Picks 5/30/2019

Thursday, May 30, 2019

Dodger Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jason Vargas vs. Hyun-Jin Ryu

Justin Turner and the Los Angeles Dodgers (36-19, 1st in NL West) host the New York Mets (27-27, 3rd in NL East) at Dodger Stadium on Thursday, May 30, 2019. The Dodgers open this game at -240 while the Mets are coming in at +220. The O/U is set at 8.

The Mets have been a dicey option for MLB wagerers, having gone 27-27-0 SU. The Dodgers are covering 65.5% of the time, going 36-19-0 straight up. The Dodgers have been a strong choice for MLB bettors as a favorite, going 36-17-0 SU. The Mets are covering 48.0% of the time as the underdog, having gone 12-13-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been a great Over option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 28-21-5.

New York covers 40.0% of the time as the away team, having gone 12-18-0 straight up.

Important Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

Los Angeles covers 74.1% of the time at Dodger Stadium, going 20-7-0 SU.

The Dodgers have been a great Over option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 30-23-2.

Key New York Mets Injuries

5/28/2019 Luis Avilan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/28/2019 Seth Lugo RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 13
5/25/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
5/24/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
5/24/2019 Justin Wilson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/23/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/23/2019 Jeff McNeil LF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 1
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

5/27/2019 Austin Barnes C Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 7
5/26/2019 Tony Cingrani RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 3
5/1/2019 A.J CF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
2/6/2019 Tom Koehler SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 27-27 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jason Vargas has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 5.22 and a WHIP of 1.57 this season. He has 23 strikeouts over his 29.1 innings pitched and he's given up 31 hits. He's allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 181 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen and they've struck out 196 hitters and walked 89 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.49. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 475 base hits and 242 earned runs. They have allowed 66 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 187 batters and struck out 502. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .246, good for 19th in the league. The Mets hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .254 with an on-base percentage of .330. He has 49 hits this season in 193 at bats with 39 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .591 and an OPS+ of 147. Amed Rosario is hitting .262 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .307. He has totaled 53 hits and he has driven in 28 men in 202 at bats. His OPS+ is 99 while his slugging percentage is at .421. The Mets have 459 hits, including 90 doubles and 69 home runs. New York has walked 188 times so far this season and they have struck out 511 times as a unit. They have left 384 men on base and have a team OPS of .738. They score 4.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 251 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Los Angeles has a 36-19 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.65, Hyun-Jin Ryu has a 7-1 record and a 0.83 WHIP. He has 62 strikeouts over the 65.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 50 hits. He's allowing 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.76 and they have given up 158 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Dodgers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 165 batters and walked 56 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.56. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 423 base knocks and 193 earned runs this season. They have given up 66 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 125 hitters and struck out 477 batters. They give up a walk 2.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.12 while their FIP as a staff is 3.82.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 3rd in the league. The Dodgers hold a .458 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Justin Turner comes into this matchup batting .298 with an OBP of .387. He has 54 hits this year along with 23 RBI in 181 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .436 with an OPS+ of 121. Cody Bellinger is hitting .382 this season and he has an OBP of .469. He has collected 73 hits in 191 at bats while driving in 51 runs. He has an OPS+ of 223 and a slugging percentage of .770. The Dodgers as a unit have 480 base hits, including 88 doubles and 85 homers. Los Angeles has walked 229 times this year and they have struck out on 422 occasions. They have had 410 men left on base and have an OPS of .807. They have scored 5.4 runs per game and totaled 297 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dodgers -240

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn