New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Point Spread Picks 5/28/2019

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Dodger Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Rich Hill

Justin Turner and the Los Angeles Dodgers (35-18, 1st in NL West) play the New York Mets (26-26, 3rd in NL East) at Dodger Stadium on Tuesday, May 28, 2019. The Dodgers open this matchup at -195 while the Mets are priced at +182. The total opens at 8.

The Mets have been pretty good for Las Vegas, having gone 26-26-0 SU. The Dodgers are covering 66.0% of the time, going 35-18-0 straight up. The Dodgers have been an excellent choice for MLB bettors as a favorite, going 35-16-0 SU. New York is covering 47.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 11-12-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been an awful Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 26-21-5.

The Mets are covering 39.3% of the time as the away team, having gone 11-17-0 straight up.

Important Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

Los Angeles is covering 76.0% of the time at Dodger Stadium, going 19-6-0 SU.

The Dodgers have been a less than ideal Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 28-23-2.

Key New York Mets Injuries

5/25/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
5/24/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
5/24/2019 Justin Wilson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/23/2019 Jeff McNeil LF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 1
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/23/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/21/2019 Seth Lugo RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
5/18/2019 Luis Avilan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 1
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

5/26/2019 Tony Cingrani RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 3
5/26/2019 Austin Barnes C Groin Probable for May 27
5/26/2019 Alex Verdugo CF Back Probable for May 27
5/1/2019 A.J CF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
2/6/2019 Tom Koehler SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 26-26 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.37 this season. He has 45 strikeouts over his 44.2 innings pitched and he's given up 48 hits. He's allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.65. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 167 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 192 hitters and walked 86 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 450 base hits and 230 earned runs. They have allowed 62 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 180 batters and struck out 490. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .243, good for 22nd in the league. The Mets hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .250 with an on-base percentage of .330. He has 46 hits this season in 184 at bats with 38 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .587 and an OPS+ of 147. Amed Rosario is hitting .247 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .291. He has totaled 48 hits and he has driven in 27 men in 194 at bats. His OPS+ is 87 while his slugging percentage is at .392. The Mets have 434 hits, including 84 doubles and 65 home runs. New York has walked 180 times so far this season and they have struck out 493 times as a unit. They have left 365 men on base and have a team OPS of .727. They score 4.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 239 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Los Angeles has a 35-18 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.67, Rich Hill has a 1-1 record and a 1.07 WHIP. He has 31 strikeouts over the 27 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 24 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.48. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.61 and they have given up 149 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Dodgers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 158 batters and walked 50 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.48. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 398 base knocks and 182 earned runs this season. They have given up 62 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 117 hitters and struck out 459 batters. They give up a walk 2.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.10 while their FIP as a staff is 3.75.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 7th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Justin Turner comes into this matchup batting .304 with an OBP of .396. He has 52 hits this year along with 23 RBI in 171 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .444 with an OPS+ of 126. Cody Bellinger is hitting .386 this season and he has an OBP of .470. He has collected 71 hits in 184 at bats while driving in 48 runs. He has an OPS+ of 221 and a slugging percentage of .755. The Dodgers as a unit have 455 base hits, including 85 doubles and 81 homers. Los Angeles has walked 222 times this year and they have struck out on 410 occasions. They have had 390 men left on base and have an OPS of .802. They have scored 5.38 runs per game and totaled 285 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets +182

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