New York Mets at Miami Marlins MLB Betting Tips 7/12/2019
Friday, July 12, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jason Vargas vs. Caleb Smith
Marlins Park is the venue where Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins (33-55, 5th in NL East) will play the New York Mets (40-50, 4th in NL East) on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Mets coming in at +104 and the Marlins are at -114. The total has been set at 8.5.
The Mets have been a lousy bet for bettors, having gone 40-50-0 SU. The Marlins are covering 37.5% of the time, going 33-55-0 straight up. The Marlins have been inconsistent for wagerers as a favorite, going 1-1-0 SU. New York has went 16-28-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 36.4% of the time.
Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have been a rough Under play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 47-33-10.
New York is covering 35.4% of the time as the visitor, having gone 17-31-0 straight up.
Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins are covering 34.1% of the time at Marlins Park, going 15-29-0 SU.
The Marlins have been an inconsistent Over play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 38-45-5.
Key New York Mets Injuries
7/8/2019 Michael Conforto RF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
7/8/2019 J.D 3B Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
7/5/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/18/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
7/10/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/8/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/8/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
7/8/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/4/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/30/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/28/2019 Tayron Guerrero RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Mets have a 40-50 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jason Vargas has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.31 this season. He has 63 strikeouts over his 71.2 innings pitched and he's given up 64 hits. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.63 and they have given up 316 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the bullpen and they've struck out 307 hitters and walked 138 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.86. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 811 base hits and 433 earned runs. They have allowed 124 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 299 batters and struck out 828. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.40.
As a team New York is hitting .254, good for 15th in the league. The Mets hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .372. He has 91 hits this season in 325 at bats with 68 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .634 and an OPS+ of 166. Jeff McNeil is hitting .349 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .409. He has totaled 101 hits and he has driven in 36 men in 289 at bats. His OPS+ is 148 while his slugging percentage is at .509. The Mets have 791 hits, including 153 doubles and 126 home runs. New York has walked 287 times so far this season and they have struck out 793 times as a unit. They have left 630 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 4.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 420 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Miami has a 33-55 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.50, Caleb Smith has a 4-4 record and a 1.01 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 72 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 52 hits. He's allowing 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.38. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.88 and they have given up 286 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 307 batters and walked 138 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 719 base knocks and 374 earned runs this season. They have given up 106 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 318 hitters and struck out 755 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.41.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .358 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .245 with an OBP of .272. He has 86 hits this year along with 34 RBI in 351 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .336 with an OPS+ of 65. Miguel Rojas is hitting .295 this season and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 90 hits in 305 at bats while driving in 26 runs. He has an OPS+ of 99 and a slugging percentage of .374. The Marlins as a unit have 720 base hits, including 140 doubles and 68 homers. Miami has walked 212 times this year and they have struck out on 789 occasions. They have had 582 men left on base and have an OPS of .655. They have scored 3.55 runs per game and totaled 312 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Mets/Marlins MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Mets +104
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