New York Mets at Miami Marlins MLB Betting Tips 7/14/2019
Sunday, July 14, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Sandy Alcantara
Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (40-51, 4th in NL East) travel to Marlins Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (34-55, 5th in NL East). The line on this matchup has the Mets priced at -173 and the Marlins are at +163. The total opens at 7.5.
The Mets have been excellent for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 40-51-0 SU. The Marlins cover 38.2% of the time, going 34-55-0 straight up. The Mets have been inconsistent for oddsmakers as favorites, going 24-22-0 SU. The Marlins cover 37.2% of the time as an underdog, having gone 32-54-0 straight up.
Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have been an awful Under bet for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 48-33-10.
New York is covering 34.7% of the time as the away team, having gone 17-32-0 straight up.
Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins cover 35.6% of the time at Marlins Park, going 16-29-0 SU.
The Marlins have been a less than ideal Over bet for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 39-45-5.
Key New York Mets Injuries
7/12/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/12/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
7/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/12/2019 Tayron Guerrero RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 13
7/11/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/10/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/8/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/8/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/30/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Mets have a 40-51 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 4-7 record with an earned run average of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.09 this season. He has 138 strikeouts over his 110 innings pitched and he's given up 95 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.14. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.64 and they have given up 319 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the bullpen and they've struck out 309 hitters and walked 139 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.9. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 819 base hits and 441 earned runs. They have allowed 127 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 301 batters and struck out 831. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.
As a team New York is hitting .254, good for 15th in the league. The Mets hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .277 with an on-base percentage of .371. He has 91 hits this season in 328 at bats with 68 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .628 and an OPS+ of 165. Jeff McNeil is hitting .348 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .407. He has totaled 102 hits and he has driven in 36 men in 293 at bats. His OPS+ is 147 while his slugging percentage is at .505. The Mets have 796 hits, including 153 doubles and 127 home runs. New York has walked 292 times so far this season and they have struck out 804 times as a unit. They have left 635 men on base and have a team OPS of .755. They score 4.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 424 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Miami has a 34-55 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.82, Sandy Alcantara has a 4-8 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 70 strikeouts over the 101.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 95 hits. He's allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.61. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.89 and they have given up 288 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 312 batters and walked 138 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 724 base knocks and 376 earned runs this season. They have given up 107 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 323 hitters and struck out 766 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 25th in the league. The Marlins hold a .361 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .245 with an OBP of .272. He has 87 hits this year along with 35 RBI in 355 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .341 with an OPS+ of 65. Miguel Rojas is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 90 hits in 308 at bats while driving in 27 runs. He has an OPS+ of 96 and a slugging percentage of .370. The Marlins as a unit have 728 base hits, including 141 doubles and 71 homers. Miami has walked 214 times this year and they have struck out on 792 occasions. They have had 584 men left on base and have an OPS of .659. They have scored 3.6 runs per game and totaled 320 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Mets/Marlins MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Mets -173
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