New York Mets at Minnesota Twins MLB Tips 7/17/2019
Wednesday, July 17, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jason Vargas vs. Martin Perez
Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins (58-34, 1st in AL Central) play the New York Mets (42-51, 4th in NL East) at Target Field on Wednesday, July 17, 2019. The Twins open this contest at -165 while the Mets are priced at +155. The O/U is set at 10.5.
The Mets have been an inconsistent pick for bettors, having gone 42-51-0 SU. Minnesota is covering 63.0% of the time, going 58-34-0 straight up. The Twins have been a very good bet for baseball bettors as the favorite, going 38-22-0 SU. New York has went 16-29-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 35.6% of the time.
Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have been a terrible Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 49-34-10.
The Mets are covering 37.2% of the time as the road team, having gone 19-32-0 straight up.
Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins are covering 65.1% of the time at Target Field, going 28-15-0 SU.
The Twins have been an inconsistent Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 46-41-5.
Key New York Mets Injuries
7/15/2019 Zack Wheeler SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/12/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/12/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
7/14/2019 Byron Buxton CF Face Probable for Jul 16
7/13/2019 Eddie Rosario LF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/8/2019 C.J 1B Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/8/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/8/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Mets have a 42-51 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jason Vargas has a 3-5 record with an earned run average of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.30 this season. He has 64 strikeouts over his 76.2 innings pitched and he's given up 69 hits. He's allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.55 and they have given up 325 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the bullpen and they've struck out 315 hitters and walked 141 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.84. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 836 base hits and 445 earned runs. They have allowed 128 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 306 batters and struck out 852. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.41.
As a team New York is hitting .254, good for 15th in the league. The Mets hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Jeff McNeil is hitting .349 with an on-base percentage of .410. He has 105 hits this season in 301 at bats with 38 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .515 and an OPS+ of 148. Pete Alonso is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 92 hits and he has driven in 69 men in 335 at bats. His OPS+ is 160 while his slugging percentage is at .618. The Mets have 816 hits, including 156 doubles and 131 home runs. New York has walked 300 times so far this season and they have struck out 823 times as a unit. They have left 653 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 4.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 434 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Minnesota has a 58-34 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.26, Martin Perez has a 8-3 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 85 strikeouts over the 95 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 90 hits. He's allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 297 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 325 batters and walked 118 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 776 base knocks and 363 earned runs this season. They have given up 113 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 262 hitters and struck out 807 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .311 with an OBP of .367. He has 115 hits this year along with 44 RBI in 370 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .508 with an OPS+ of 131. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .256 this season and he has an OBP of .305. He has collected 76 hits in 297 at bats while driving in 39 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .458. The Twins as a unit have 887 base hits, including 193 doubles and 171 homers. Minnesota has walked 278 times this year and they have struck out on 753 occasions. They have had 638 men left on base and have an OPS of .830. They have scored 5.68 runs per game and totaled 523 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Mets/Twins MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -165
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Josh Schonwald
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks