New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Baseball Betting Tips 8/31/2019

Saturday, August 31, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Jason Vargas

Rhys Hoskins and the Philadelphia Phillies (69-63, 3rd in NL East) host the New York Mets (67-66, 4th in NL East) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, August 31, 2019. The odds on this matchup have the Mets priced at +120 and the Phillies are at -130. The total opens at 9.5.

The Mets have been a good choice for bettors, having gone 67-66-0 SU. Philadelphia covers 52.3% of the time, going 69-63-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been a dicey Under pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 64-56-13.

New York covers 43.5% of the time as the away team, having gone 30-39-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies cover 58.0% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 40-29-0 SU.

The Phillies have been a dicey Under pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 62-67-3.

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/29/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
8/29/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/29/2019 Tomas Nido C Head Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/20/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
8/5/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

8/27/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/27/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/24/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/24/2019 Jay Bruce LF Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/21/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/21/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/18/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 67-66 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 8-8 record with an earned run average of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.30 this season. He has 122 strikeouts over his 128.2 innings pitched and he's given up 129 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.52. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.98 and they have given up 432 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen and they've struck out 462 hitters and walked 196 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1,154 base hits and 579 earned runs. They have allowed 171 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 424 batters and struck out 1,239. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Mets hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .261 with an on-base percentage of .365. He has 126 hits this season in 482 at bats with 101 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .587 and an OPS+ of 150. Amed Rosario is hitting .288 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .326. He has totaled 146 hits and he has driven in 56 men in 507 at bats. His OPS+ is 103 while his slugging percentage is at .438. The Mets have 1,189 hits, including 228 doubles and 189 home runs. New York has walked 413 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,149 times as a unit. They have left 936 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 634 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 69-63 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.09, Jason Vargas has a 6-6 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 96 strikeouts over the 123.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 108 hits. He's allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.55 and they have given up 474 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 458 batters and walked 186 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,203 base knocks and 604 earned runs this season. They have given up 214 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 435 hitters and struck out 1,109 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.94.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .235 with an OBP of .380. He has 109 hits this year along with 74 RBI in 464 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .474 with an OPS+ of 119. Bryce Harper is hitting .255 this season and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 121 hits in 475 at bats while driving in 94 runs. He has an OPS+ of 122 and a slugging percentage of .497. The Phillies as a unit have 1,124 base hits, including 254 doubles and 168 homers. Philadelphia has walked 481 times this year and they have struck out on 1,166 occasions. They have had 940 men left on base and have an OPS of .749. They have scored 4.88 runs per game and totaled 644 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies (-130)

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