New York Mets at Washington Nationals MLB Point Spread Picks 9/4/2019

Wednesday, September 4, 2019

Nationals Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zack Wheeler vs. Anibal Sanchez

Nationals Park is the venue where Adam Eaton and the Washington Nationals (77-59, 2nd in NL East) will take on the New York Mets (70-67, 4th in NL East) on Wednesday. The Mets open this game at +107 while the Nationals are coming in at -117. The total has been set at 10.

The Mets have been a decent option for wagerers, having gone 70-67-0 SU. Washington is covering 56.6% of the time, going 77-59-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been a solid Over choice for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 65-58-14.

The Mets are covering 45.2% of the time as a visitor, having gone 33-40-0 straight up.

Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends

Washington is covering 58.8% of the time at Nationals Park, going 40-28-0 SU.

The Nationals have been a solid Over choice for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 64-64-8.

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/1/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/29/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
8/20/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/2/2019 Adam Eaton RF Knee Probable for Sep 3
8/30/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/30/2019 Jonny Venters RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 10

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 70-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler has a 9-7 record with an earned run average of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.30 this season. He has 160 strikeouts over his 161.1 innings pitched and he's given up 164 hits. He's allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.06 and they have given up 443 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen and they've struck out 474 hitters and walked 201 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1,189 base hits and 595 earned runs. They have allowed 174 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 435 batters and struck out 1,277. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.16.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .257, good for 11th in the league. The Mets hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .265 with an on-base percentage of .366. He has 132 hits this season in 499 at bats with 102 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .585 and an OPS+ of 149. Amed Rosario is hitting .285 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .322. He has totaled 150 hits and he has driven in 58 men in 526 at bats. His OPS+ is 100 while his slugging percentage is at .430. The Mets have 1,229 hits, including 238 doubles and 194 home runs. New York has walked 428 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,181 times as a unit. They have left 967 men on base and have a team OPS of .762. They score 4.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 660 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington has a 77-59 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.80, Anibal Sanchez has a 8-6 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 116 strikeouts over the 135 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 126 hits. He's allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.26. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.79 and they have given up 442 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 429 batters and walked 180 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,143 base knocks and 580 earned runs this season. They have given up 165 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 426 hitters and struck out 1,273 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.07.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 7th in the league. The Nationals hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Adam Eaton comes into this matchup batting .288 with an OBP of .376. He has 139 hits this year along with 42 RBI in 483 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .435 with an OPS+ of 106. Anthony Rendon is hitting .337 this season and he has an OBP of .417. He has collected 156 hits in 463 at bats while driving in 111 runs. He has an OPS+ of 163 and a slugging percentage of .639. The Nationals as a unit have 1,224 base hits, including 248 doubles and 197 homers. Washington has walked 483 times this year and they have struck out on 1,107 occasions. They have had 941 men left on base and have an OPS of .795. They have scored 5.38 runs per game and totaled 732 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets (+107)

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