New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 5/20/2019
Monday, May 20, 2019
Oriole Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: J.A. Happ vs. David Hess
Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (15-30, 5th in AL East) host the New York Yankees (27-17, 2nd in AL East) at Oriole Park on Monday, May 20, 2019. The moneyline on this matchup has the Yankees coming in at -180 and the Orioles are at +170. The O/U has been set at 9.5.
The Yankees have been a great option for baseball wagerers, having gone 27-17-0 SU. The Orioles are covering 33.3% of the time, going 15-30-0 straight up. The Yankees have been awful for Las Vegas as favorites, going 24-11-0 SU. Baltimore is covering 31.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 14-30-0 straight up.
Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends
The Yankees have been a less than ideal Under pick for over/under bettors, having gone 22-21-1.
The Yankees are covering 61.1% of the time as the road team, having gone 11-7-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
Baltimore is covering 28.6% of the time at Oriole Park, going 6-15-0 SU.
The Orioles have been a pretty good Under pick for over/under bettors, having gone 21-22-2.
Key New York Yankees Injuries
05/18/19 P Masahiro Tanaka Shin is questionable next start
05/15/19 3B Miguel Andujar Shoulder 10-day IL (05/13); is out for season
05/13/19 P Jonathan Loaisiga Shoulder 60-day IL (05/10)
05/04/19 P James Paxton Knee 10-day IL (05/04)
04/21/19 RF Aaron Judge Side 10-day IL (04/20)
04/17/19 1B Greg Bird Foot 60-day IL (04/14)
04/17/19 CF Jacoby Ellsbury Hip 60-day IL (03/25)
04/03/19 SS Troy Tulowitzki Calf 10-day IL (04/03)
04/01/19 DH Giancarlo Stanton Biceps 10-day IL (04/01)
03/30/19 P Ben Heller Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Dellin Betances Shoulder 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 SS Didi Gregorius Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Jordan Montgomery Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)
03/25/19 P Luis Severino Shoulder 60-day IL (03/25)
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
04/28/19 P Alex Cobb Back 10-day IL (04/27)
04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Yankees have a 27-17 overall record this season. Starting pitcher J.A. Happ has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.19 this season. He has 37 strikeouts over his 48.2 innings pitched and he's given up 46 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.06 and they have given up 132 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen and they've struck out 190 hitters and walked 64 batters. As a team, New York allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.64. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 335 base hits and 159 earned runs. They have allowed 58 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 140 batters and struck out 419. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.
Hitting Statistics
As a team New York is hitting .251, good for 13th in the league. The Yankees hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Gleyber Torres is hitting .288 with an on-base percentage of .322. He has 47 hits this season in 163 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .503 and an OPS+ of 116. Luke Voit is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 40 hits and he has driven in 33 men in 157 at bats. His OPS+ is 131 while his slugging percentage is at .497. The Yankees have 366 hits, including 64 doubles and 64 home runs. New York has walked 152 times so far this season and they have struck out 384 times as a unit. They have left 283 men on base and have a team OPS of .755. They score 4.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 213 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 15-30 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.58, David Hess has a 1-5 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 33 strikeouts over the 40.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 38 hits. He's allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.02. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.97 and they have given up 191 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 175 batters and walked 86 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.5. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 408 base knocks and 242 earned runs this season. They have given up 93 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 162 hitters and struck out 343 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 5.84.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .235, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .392 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .250 with an OBP of .305. He has 46 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 184 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .397 with an OPS+ of 91. Trey Mancini is hitting .310 this season and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 52 hits in 168 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 149 and a slugging percentage of .571. The Orioles as a unit have 360 base hits, including 68 doubles and 53 homers. Baltimore has walked 117 times this year and they have struck out on 397 occasions. They have had 290 men left on base and have an OPS of .686. They have scored 3.91 runs per game and totaled 176 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Yankees/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles +170
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