New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 5/21/2019

Tuesday, May 21, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Domingo German vs. David Hess

Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (15-31, 5th in AL East) host the New York Yankees (28-17, 1st in AL East) at Oriole Park on Tuesday, May 21, 2019. The line on this contest has the Yankees priced at -215 and the Orioles are at +199. The total opens at 9.5.

The Yankees have been a great bet for MLB bettors, having gone 28-17-0 SU. The Orioles are covering 32.6% of the time, going 15-31-0 straight up. The Yankees have been a great bet for MLB bettors as favorites, going 24-11-0 SU. The Orioles are covering 31.1% of the time as an underdog, having gone 14-31-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have been a hot and cold Under pick for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 23-21-1.

The Yankees are covering 61.1% of the time as the road team, having gone 11-7-0 straight up.

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles are covering 28.6% of the time at Oriole Park, going 6-15-0 SU.

The Orioles have been a less than ideal Over pick for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 21-22-3.

Key New York Yankees Injuries

05/19/19 3B Gio Urshela Groin left last game, is questionable Monday vs Baltimore Orioles
05/18/19 P Masahiro Tanaka Shin is questionable next start
05/15/19 3B Miguel Andujar Shoulder 10-day IL (05/13); is out for season
05/13/19 P Jonathan Loaisiga Shoulder 60-day IL (05/10)
05/04/19 P James Paxton Knee 10-day IL (05/04)
04/21/19 RF Aaron Judge Side 10-day IL (04/20)
04/17/19 1B Greg Bird Foot 60-day IL (04/14)
04/17/19 CF Jacoby Ellsbury Hip 60-day IL (03/25)
04/03/19 SS Troy Tulowitzki Calf 10-day IL (04/03)
04/01/19 DH Giancarlo Stanton Biceps 10-day IL (04/01)
03/30/19 P Ben Heller Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Dellin Betances Shoulder 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 SS Didi Gregorius Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Jordan Montgomery Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)
03/25/19 P Luis Severino Shoulder 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

04/28/19 P Alex Cobb Back 10-day IL (04/27)
04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 28-17 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Domingo German has a 8-1 record with an earned run average of 2.50 and a WHIP of 0.95 this season. He has 52 strikeouts over his 50.1 innings pitched and he's given up 33 hits. He's allowed 5.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.96. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 136 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen and they've struck out 201 hitters and walked 68 batters. As a team, New York allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.67. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 342 base hits and 164 earned runs. They have allowed 61 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 145 batters and struck out 431. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 4.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .253, good for 11th in the league. The Yankees hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Gleyber Torres is hitting .293 with an on-base percentage of .330. He has 49 hits this season in 167 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .503 and an OPS+ of 119. Luke Voit is hitting .250 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 40 hits and he has driven in 34 men in 160 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .488. The Yankees have 378 hits, including 66 doubles and 67 home runs. New York has walked 161 times so far this season and they have struck out 393 times as a unit. They have left 291 men on base and have a team OPS of .765. They score 5.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 226 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 15-31 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.58, David Hess has a 1-5 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 33 strikeouts over the 40.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 38 hits. He's allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.96 and they have given up 196 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 178 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.55. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 419 base knocks and 249 earned runs this season. They have given up 94 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 169 hitters and struck out 349 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.83.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .233, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .251 with an OBP of .305. He has 47 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 187 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .396 with an OPS+ of 90. Trey Mancini is hitting .304 this season and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 52 hits in 171 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 144 and a slugging percentage of .561. The Orioles as a unit have 365 base hits, including 68 doubles and 53 homers. Baltimore has walked 117 times this year and they have struck out on 412 occasions. They have had 294 men left on base and have an OPS of .679. They have scored 3.83 runs per game and totaled 176 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles +199

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