New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 5/23/2019

Thursday, May 23, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Masahiro Tanaka vs. Dylan Bundy

Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (15-33, 5th in AL East) play the New York Yankees (30-17, 1st in AL East) at Oriole Park on Thursday, May 23, 2019. The Yankees open this matchup at -195 while the Orioles are coming in at +182. The over/under is set at 9.5.

The Yankees have been an excellent option for baseball wagerers, having gone 30-17-0 SU. Baltimore covers 31.2% of the time, going 15-33-0 straight up. The Yankees have been an excellent option for baseball wagerers as favorites, going 26-11-0 SU. Baltimore has gone 14-33-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 29.8% of the time.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have been a good Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 25-21-1.

New York covers 65.0% of the time as a visitor, having gone 13-7-0 straight up.

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles cover 26.1% of the time at Oriole Park, going 6-17-0 SU.

The Orioles have been a good Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 23-22-3.

Key New York Yankees Injuries

05/21/19 P Masahiro Tanaka Shin is probable for next start
05/15/19 3B Miguel Andujar Shoulder 60-day IL (05/13); is out for season
05/13/19 P Jonathan Loaisiga Shoulder 60-day IL (05/10)
05/04/19 P James Paxton Knee 10-day IL (05/04)
04/21/19 RF Aaron Judge Side 10-day IL (04/20)
04/17/19 1B Greg Bird Foot 60-day IL (04/14)
04/17/19 CF Jacoby Ellsbury Hip 60-day IL (03/25)
04/03/19 SS Troy Tulowitzki Calf 10-day IL (04/03)
04/01/19 DH Giancarlo Stanton Biceps 10-day IL (04/01)
03/30/19 P Ben Heller Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Dellin Betances Shoulder 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 SS Didi Gregorius Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Jordan Montgomery Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)
03/25/19 P Luis Severino Shoulder 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

05/20/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 60-day IL (05/20)
04/28/19 P Alex Cobb Back 10-day IL (04/27)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 30-17 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Masahiro Tanaka has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.13 this season. He has 53 strikeouts over his 58.1 innings pitched and he's given up 52 hits. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.77. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 143 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen and they've struck out 207 hitters and walked 72 batters. As a team, New York allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 363 base hits and 174 earned runs. They have allowed 64 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 151 batters and struck out 445. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 4.12.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .255, good for 8th in the league. The Yankees hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Gleyber Torres is hitting .299 with an on-base percentage of .340. He has 52 hits this season in 174 at bats with 24 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .534 and an OPS+ of 129. Luke Voit is hitting .260 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .379. He has totaled 44 hits and he has driven in 34 men in 169 at bats. His OPS+ is 131 while his slugging percentage is at .491. The Yankees have 401 hits, including 68 doubles and 73 home runs. New York has walked 169 times so far this season and they have struck out 408 times as a unit. They have left 299 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 5.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 247 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 15-33 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.66, Dylan Bundy has a 2-5 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 47 strikeouts over the 46.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 40 hits. He's allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.63. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.12 and they have given up 206 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 185 batters and walked 91 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.74. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 442 base knocks and 269 earned runs this season. They have given up 100 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 177 hitters and struck out 364 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.87.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .236, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .250 with an OBP of .303. He has 48 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 192 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .391 with an OPS+ of 87. Trey Mancini is hitting .309 this season and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 55 hits in 178 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 144 and a slugging percentage of .562. The Orioles as a unit have 386 base hits, including 74 doubles and 56 homers. Baltimore has walked 123 times this year and they have struck out on 426 occasions. They have had 312 men left on base and have an OPS of .688. They have scored 3.9 runs per game and totaled 187 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles +182

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