New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles MLB Picks & Predictions 8/7/2019

Wednesday, August 7, 2019
Oriole Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. John Means
Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees (73-39, 1st in AL East) go to Oriole Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the Baltimore Orioles (38-74, 5th in AL East).
The Yankees have been very good for MLB bettors, having gone 73-39-0 SU. The Orioles cover 33.9% of the time, going 38-74-0 straight up.
Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends
The Yankees have been a rough Under choice for O/U bettors, having gone 62-46-4.
The Yankees cover 57.1% of the time as the road team, having gone 28-21-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles cover 30.4% of the time at Oriole Park, going 17-39-0 SU.
The Orioles have been a hot and cold Under choice for O/U bettors, having gone 54-48-10.
Key New York Yankees Injuries
8/6/2019 Gio Urshela 3B Leg Probable for Aug 6
8/5/2019 Gary Sanchez C Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
8/5/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
8/4/2019 Aaron Hicks CF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/3/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/3/2019 CC Sabathia SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/3/2019 Edwin Encarnacion DH Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/31/2019 Luke Voit 1B Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/31/2019 David Hale RP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/31/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/28/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
7/25/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/22/2019 Ben Heller RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/30/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/20/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
8/6/2019 Miguel Castro RP Illness Probable for Aug 6
8/5/2019 Dwight Smith LF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/3/2019 John Means SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
8/1/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Yankees have a 73-39 overall record this season. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 6-6 record with an earned run average of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.46 this season. He has 123 strikeouts over his 95.2 innings pitched and he's given up 102 hits. He's allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.31. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.81 and they have given up 399 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen and they've struck out 488 hitters and walked 176 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 972 base hits and 482 earned runs. They have allowed 176 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 342 batters and struck out 1,037. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.54.
Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team New York is hitting .271, good for 2nd in the league. The Yankees hold a .478 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Aaron Judge is hitting .284 with an on-base percentage of .405. He has 59 hits this season in 208 at bats with 29 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .500 and an OPS+ of 141. Gleyber Torres is hitting .282 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 110 hits and he has driven in 62 men in 390 at bats. His OPS+ is 125 while his slugging percentage is at .508. The Yankees have 1,039 hits, including 194 doubles and 192 home runs. New York has walked 413 times so far this season and they have struck out 985 times as a unit. They have left 734 men on base and have a team OPS of .823. They score 5.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 654 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 38-74 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.12, John Means has a 8-6 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He has 78 strikeouts over the 98 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 85 hits. He's allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.46. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.00 and they have given up 491 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 442 batters and walked 210 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.59. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,057 base knocks and 618 earned runs this season. They have given up 223 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 397 hitters and struck out 871 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.73.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 24th in the league. The Orioles hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .279 with an OBP of .340. He has 117 hits this year along with 63 RBI in 419 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .535 with an OPS+ of 128. Jonathan Villar is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .331. He has collected 117 hits in 439 at bats while driving in 51 runs. He has an OPS+ of 103 and a slugging percentage of .437. The Orioles as a unit have 943 base hits, including 171 doubles and 141 homers. Baltimore has walked 308 times this year and they have struck out on 1,022 occasions. They have had 730 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They have scored 4.39 runs per game and totaled 492 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Yankees/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees
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