New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Expert MLB Picks 7/27/2019
Saturday, July 27, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: CC Sabathia vs. Eduardo Rodriguez
Fenway Park is the site where J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (57-47, 3rd in AL East) will take on the New York Yankees (66-36, 1st in AL East) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Yankees coming in at +120 and the Red Sox are at -130. The O/U opens at 11.5.
The Yankees have been a strong option for wagerers, having gone 66-36-0 SU. The Red Sox are covering 54.8% of the time, going 57-47-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been great for bettors as the favorite, going 49-37-0 SU. The Yankees are covering 38.9% of the time as an underdog, having gone 7-11-0 straight up.
Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends
The Yankees have been a great Over bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 55-43-4.
New York is covering 57.8% of the time as the visitor, having gone 26-19-0 straight up.
Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
Boston is covering 52.1% of the time at Fenway Park, going 25-23-0 SU.
The Red Sox have been a great Over bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 60-41-3.
Key New York Yankees Injuries
7/25/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/25/2019 Cameron Maybin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/25/2019 Brett Gardner CF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/24/2019 Gary Sanchez C Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/22/2019 Ben Heller RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/20/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/15/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
6/30/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/20/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/16/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/3/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/25/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/25/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Back Probable for Jul 26
7/20/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/18/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Yankees have a 66-36 overall record this season. Starting pitcher CC Sabathia has a 5-5 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 79 strikeouts over his 86 innings pitched and he's given up 85 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.83. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.81 and they have given up 364 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen and they've struck out 449 hitters and walked 159 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 878 base hits and 432 earned runs. They have allowed 158 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 313 batters and struck out 950. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.51.
As a team New York is hitting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .473 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. DJ LeMahieu is hitting .333 with an on-base percentage of .382. He has 129 hits this season in 387 at bats with 71 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .519 and an OPS+ of 139. Gleyber Torres is hitting .294 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 103 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 350 at bats. His OPS+ is 131 while his slugging percentage is at .514. The Yankees have 940 hits, including 168 doubles and 174 home runs. New York has walked 377 times so far this season and they have struck out 903 times as a unit. They have left 669 men on base and have a team OPS of .816. They score 5.79 runs per contest and have scored a total of 591 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Boston has a 57-47 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.10, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 12-4 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 126 strikeouts over the 123 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 116 hits. He's allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.56 and they have given up 370 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 472 batters and walked 184 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 910 base knocks and 486 earned runs this season. They have given up 138 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 357 hitters and struck out 1,053 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.20.
As a team, they are batting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .468 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .294 with an OBP of .365. He has 111 hits this year along with 55 RBI in 377 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .520 with an OPS+ of 127. Rafael Devers is hitting .323 this season and he has an OBP of .376. He has collected 131 hits in 406 at bats while driving in 81 runs. He has an OPS+ of 141 and a slugging percentage of .569. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,018 base hits, including 222 doubles and 156 homers. Boston has walked 397 times this year and they have struck out on 867 occasions. They have had 763 men left on base and have an OPS of .815. They have scored 5.78 runs per game and totaled 601 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Yankees/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox -130
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