New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Expert MLB Picks 7/28/2019
Sunday, July 28, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Domingo German vs. Chris Sale
Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox (58-47, 3rd in AL East) play the New York Yankees (66-37, 1st in AL East) at Fenway Park on Sunday, July 28, 2019. The Red Sox open this contest at -156 while the Yankees are coming in at +146. The total is set at 10.5.
The Yankees have been an excellent play for baseball wagerers, having gone 66-37-0 SU. The Red Sox are covering 55.2% of the time, going 58-47-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been strong for baseball bettors as a favorite, going 49-37-0 SU. New York is covering 38.9% of the time as the underdog, having gone 7-11-0 straight up.
Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends
The Yankees have been an awful Under pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 56-43-4.
New York is covering 56.5% of the time as the road team, having gone 26-20-0 straight up.
Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
Boston is covering 53.1% of the time at Fenway Park, going 26-23-0 SU.
The Red Sox have been an awful Under pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 61-41-3.
Key New York Yankees Injuries
7/25/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/25/2019 Brett Gardner CF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/24/2019 Gary Sanchez C Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/22/2019 Ben Heller RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/20/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/15/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
6/30/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/20/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/16/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/3/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/25/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/20/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/18/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Yankees have a 66-37 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Domingo German has a 12-2 record with an earned run average of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.12 this season. He has 98 strikeouts over his 91.2 innings pitched and he's given up 80 hits. He's allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.49. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 369 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 451 hitters and walked 159 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 892 base hits and 442 earned runs. They have allowed 162 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 313 batters and struck out 961. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.53.
As a team New York is hitting .270, good for 3rd in the league. The Yankees hold a .473 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Gleyber Torres is hitting .294 with an on-base percentage of .360. He has 104 hits this season in 354 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .511 and an OPS+ of 130. DJ LeMahieu is hitting .332 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .382. He has totaled 130 hits and he has driven in 71 men in 391 at bats. His OPS+ is 138 while his slugging percentage is at .517. The Yankees have 953 hits, including 171 doubles and 174 home runs. New York has walked 380 times so far this season and they have struck out 910 times as a unit. They have left 678 men on base and have a team OPS of .816. They score 5.79 runs per contest and have scored a total of 596 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Boston has a 58-47 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.00, Chris Sale has a 5-9 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 182 strikeouts over the 123.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 102 hits. He's allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.24. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.55 and they have given up 373 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 473 batters and walked 186 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 923 base knocks and 490 earned runs this season. They have given up 138 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 360 hitters and struck out 1,060 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.18.
As a team, they are batting .275, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .473 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per contest. Rafael Devers comes into this matchup batting .326 with an OBP of .378. He has 134 hits this year along with 82 RBI in 411 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .574 with an OPS+ of 142. J.D. Martinez is hitting .297 this season and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 113 hits in 381 at bats while driving in 58 runs. He has an OPS+ of 129 and a slugging percentage of .533. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,032 base hits, including 228 doubles and 160 homers. Boston has walked 397 times this year and they have struck out on 878 occasions. They have had 767 men left on base and have an OPS of .820. They have scored 5.82 runs per game and totaled 611 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Yankees/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox -156
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