New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox MLB Picks & Predictions 9/9/2019

Monday, September 9, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

Gleyber Torres and the New York Yankees (93-50, 1st in AL East) go to Fenway Park on Monday where they'll take on the Boston Red Sox (76-66, 3rd in AL East). The Yankees open this matchup at +108 while the Red Sox are priced at -118. The over/under is set at 10.

The Yankees have been a great bet for MLB wagerers, having gone 93-50-0 SU. The Red Sox are covering 53.5% of the time, going 76-66-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have been a solid Over choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 75-63-5.

The Yankees are covering 57.6% of the time as a visitor, having gone 38-28-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

Boston covers 50.7% of the time at Fenway Park, going 36-35-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been an awful Under choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 78-60-4.

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Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/7/2019 Aaron Hicks CF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/7/2019 Cameron Maybin LF Wrist Probable for Sep 8
9/6/2019 Stephen Tarpley RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/6/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
9/6/2019 CC Sabathia SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/6/2019 Ben Heller RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/5/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/1/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 Jonathan Holder RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2019 Thairo Estrada 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/1/2019 David Hale RP Back Out for the season
8/30/2019 Gio Urshela 3B Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/27/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/25/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/22/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/11/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/5/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Oblique Out for the season
9/5/2019 David Price SP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/1/2019 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 Steven Wright RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/23/2019 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 93-50 overall record this season. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 12-6 record with an earned run average of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. He has 168 strikeouts over his 132 innings pitched and he's given up 125 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have given up 514 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 619 hitters and walked 230 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 1,206 base hits and 620 earned runs. They have allowed 226 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 451 batters and struck out 1,324. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.59.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .488 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Gleyber Torres is hitting .283 with an on-base percentage of .345. He has 138 hits this season in 488 at bats with 79 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .537 and an OPS+ of 131. Aaron Judge is hitting .267 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 86 hits and he has driven in 45 men in 322 at bats. His OPS+ is 131 while his slugging percentage is at .500. The Yankees have 1,318 hits, including 251 doubles and 265 home runs. New York has walked 505 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,248 times as a unit. They have left 927 men on base and have a team OPS of .828. They score 5.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 822 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 76-66 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.81, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 17-5 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 168 strikeouts over the 172.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 168 hits. He's allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 500 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 666 batters and walked 269 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,235 base knocks and 661 earned runs this season. They have given up 185 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 521 hitters and struck out 1,414 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.26.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .273, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .477 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.7 hits per contest. Rafael Devers comes into this matchup batting .314 with an OBP of .364. He has 178 hits this year along with 107 RBI in 567 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .568 with an OPS+ of 136. Mookie Betts is hitting .290 this season and he has an OBP of .389. He has collected 161 hits in 556 at bats while driving in 76 runs. He has an OPS+ of 133 and a slugging percentage of .520. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,376 base hits, including 315 doubles and 223 homers. Boston has walked 523 times this year and they have struck out on 1,190 occasions. They have had 1,023 men left on base and have an OPS of .821. They have scored 5.69 runs per game and totaled 808 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees (+108)

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