New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks 9/12/2019

Thursday, September 12, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: J.A. Happ vs. Spencer Turnbull

Comerica Park is the venue where Brandon Dixon and the Detroit Tigers (43-100, 5th in AL Central) will take on the New York Yankees (95-51, 1st in AL East) on Thursday. The Tigers open this contest at +237 while the Yankees are priced at -260. The total opens at 10.5.

The Yankees have been excellent for baseball wagerers, having gone 95-51-0 SU. Detroit is covering 30.1% of the time, going 43-100-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have been a pretty good Over option for over/under wagerers, having gone 77-64-5.

New York is covering 58.0% of the time as the away team, having gone 40-29-0 straight up.

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers cover 27.5% of the time at Comerica Park, going 19-50-0 SU.

The Tigers have been a pretty good Over option for over/under wagerers, having gone 66-67-10.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/10/2019 Tommy Kahnle RP Wrist Probable for Sep 11
9/10/2019 Mike Tauchman LF Calf Out for the season
9/10/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/9/2019 Stephen Tarpley RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/8/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Out for the season
9/8/2019 Aaron Hicks CF Elbow Out for the season
9/8/2019 CC Sabathia SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/8/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/8/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Out for the season
9/5/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/1/2019 David Hale RP Back Out for the season
9/1/2019 Jonathan Holder RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/10/2019 Willi Castro SS Forearm Probable for Sep 11
9/10/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Out for the season
9/1/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 95-51 overall record this season. Starting pitcher J.A. Happ has a 12-8 record with an earned run average of 5.10 and a WHIP of 1.30 this season. He has 124 strikeouts over his 146.1 innings pitched and he's given up 145 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have given up 528 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 634 hitters and walked 233 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 1,238 base hits and 632 earned runs. They have allowed 229 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 458 batters and struck out 1,350. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.57.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .270, good for 3rd in the league. The Yankees hold a .492 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Aaron Judge is hitting .272 with an on-base percentage of .376. He has 90 hits this season in 331 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .511 and an OPS+ of 134. Gleyber Torres is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .346. He has totaled 144 hits and he has driven in 85 men in 502 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .550. The Yankees have 1,354 hits, including 259 doubles and 276 home runs. New York has walked 512 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,274 times as a unit. They have left 946 men on base and have a team OPS of .832. They score 5.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 848 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 43-100 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.68, Spencer Turnbull has a 3-14 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 118 strikeouts over the 127 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 132 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.31. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.96 and they have given up 567 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 525 batters and walked 255 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.25. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,361 base knocks and 741 earned runs this season. They have given up 227 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 479 hitters and struck out 1,201 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.92.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 26th in the league. The Tigers hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Brandon Dixon comes into this matchup batting .247 with an OBP of .290. He has 87 hits this year along with 48 RBI in 352 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .446 with an OPS+ of 89. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .289 this season and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 131 hits in 453 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 98 and a slugging percentage of .400. The Tigers as a unit have 1,185 base hits, including 264 doubles and 134 homers. Detroit has walked 350 times this year and they have struck out on 1,437 occasions. They have had 948 men left on base and have an OPS of .683. They have scored 3.7 runs per game and totaled 529 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers (+237)

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