New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins MLB Picks 7/22/2019

Monday, July 22, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: CC Sabathia vs. Martin Perez

Gleyber Torres and the New York Yankees (64-33, 1st in AL East) are headed to Target Field on Monday where they'll take on the Minnesota Twins (59-38, 1st in AL Central). The Yankees open this game at -107 while the Twins are priced at -103. The over/under has been set at 11.

The Yankees have been strong for baseball bettors, having gone 64-33-0 SU. Minnesota covers 60.8% of the time, going 59-38-0 straight up. The Yankees have been a very good pick for MLB bettors as the favorite, going 57-22-0 SU. Minnesota has gone 20-12-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 62.5% of the time.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have been a solid Over option for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 50-43-4.

The Yankees cover 58.5% of the time away from home, having gone 24-17-0 straight up.

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

Minnesota covers 60.4% of the time at Target Field, going 29-19-0 SU.

The Twins have been a solid Over option for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 47-45-5.

Key New York Yankees Injuries

7/20/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/20/2019 Luke Voit 1B Jaw Probable for Jul 21
7/17/2019 Ben Heller RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/15/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/12/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
6/30/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/30/2019 Troy Tulowitzki SS Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/27/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/23/2019 Cameron Maybin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
6/20/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/16/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/3/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

7/17/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/16/2019 Byron Buxton CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/8/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 64-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher CC Sabathia has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.31 this season. He has 77 strikeouts over his 82 innings pitched and he's given up 79 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have given up 337 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 423 hitters and walked 144 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.98. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 813 base hits and 383 earned runs. They have allowed 141 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 286 batters and struck out 906. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .267, good for 5th in the league. The Yankees hold a .465 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Gleyber Torres is hitting .297 with an on-base percentage of .364. He has 98 hits this season in 330 at bats with 52 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .518 and an OPS+ of 131. DJ LeMahieu is hitting .334 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .380. He has totaled 124 hits and he has driven in 67 men in 371 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .509. The Yankees have 881 hits, including 152 doubles and 162 home runs. New York has walked 360 times so far this season and they have struck out 860 times as a unit. They have left 637 men on base and have a team OPS of .807. They score 5.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 554 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 59-38 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.10, Martin Perez has a 8-3 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 89 strikeouts over the 101 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 95 hits. He's allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 324 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 341 batters and walked 122 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.94. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 831 base knocks and 384 earned runs this season. They have given up 120 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 272 hitters and struck out 844 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .270, good for 3rd in the league. The Twins hold a .494 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .305 with an OBP of .361. He has 118 hits this year along with 44 RBI in 387 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .499 with an OPS+ of 126. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .258 this season and he has an OBP of .308. He has collected 78 hits in 302 at bats while driving in 41 runs. He has an OPS+ of 103 and a slugging percentage of .470. The Twins as a unit have 928 base hits, including 201 doubles and 181 homers. Minnesota has walked 297 times this year and they have struck out on 778 occasions. They have had 672 men left on base and have an OPS of .830. They have scored 5.59 runs per game and totaled 542 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees -107

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