New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays MLB Picks 7/7/2019

Sunday, July 7, 2019

Tropicana Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Charlie Morton

Austin Meadows and the Tampa Bay Rays (50-39, 2nd in AL East) host the New York Yankees (57-29, 1st in AL East) at Tropicana Field on Sunday, July 7, 2019. The Rays open this game at -113 while the Yankees are priced at +103. The O/U is set at 8.5.

The Yankees have been a great option for bettors, having gone 57-29-0 SU. The Rays cover 56.2% of the time, going 50-39-0 straight up. The Rays have been very good for MLB bettors as favorites, going 39-29-0 SU. New York has gone 7-9-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 43.8% of the time.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have been a strong Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 48-35-3.

New York covers 61.5% of the time as a visitor, having gone 24-15-0 straight up.

Important Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Rays cover 52.2% of the time at Tropicana Field, going 24-22-0 SU.

The Rays have been a good Under pick for over/under bettors, having gone 38-44-7.

Key New York Yankees Injuries

7/2/2019 Luke Voit 1B Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/30/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
6/30/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/30/2019 Troy Tulowitzki SS Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/30/2019 Ben Heller RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
6/30/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/27/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/23/2019 Cameron Maybin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
6/20/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/16/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/3/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/3/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

7/4/2019 Brandon Lowe 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Jul 13
7/3/2019 Ji-Man Choi 1B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 13
7/1/2019 Diego Castillo RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/30/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 10
6/29/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
6/25/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
6/25/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/23/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/22/2019 Anthony Bemboom C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 57-29 overall record this season. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 5-3 record with an earned run average of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.45 this season. He has 84 strikeouts over his 70.1 innings pitched and he's given up 72 hits. He's allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have given up 312 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen and they've struck out 376 hitters and walked 134 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 731 base hits and 356 earned runs. They have allowed 128 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 265 batters and struck out 795. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .266, good for 6th in the league. The Yankees hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. DJ LeMahieu is hitting .337 with an on-base percentage of .382. He has 112 hits this season in 332 at bats with 63 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .521 and an OPS+ of 138. Gleyber Torres is hitting .295 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 88 hits and he has driven in 50 men in 298 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .534. The Yankees have 782 hits, including 133 doubles and 146 home runs. New York has walked 319 times so far this season and they have struck out 760 times as a unit. They have left 558 men on base and have a team OPS of .806. They score 5.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 499 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Tampa Bay has a 50-39 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.36, Charlie Morton has a 9-2 record and a 1.03 WHIP. He has 132 strikeouts over the 107 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 75 hits. He's allowing 6.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 363 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 410 batters and walked 148 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.35. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 673 base knocks and 302 earned runs this season. They have given up 86 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 259 hitters and struck out 853 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.55.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .253, good for 15th in the league. The Rays hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Austin Meadows comes into this matchup batting .289 with an OBP of .364. He has 79 hits this year along with 41 RBI in 273 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .502 with an OPS+ of 128. Tommy Pham is hitting .275 this season and he has an OBP of .377. He has collected 87 hits in 316 at bats while driving in 37 runs. He has an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .453. The Rays as a unit have 785 base hits, including 157 doubles and 110 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 294 times this year and they have struck out on 840 occasions. They have had 643 men left on base and have an OPS of .749. They have scored 4.6 runs per game and totaled 409 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Rays MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees +103

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