New York Yankees at Texas Rangers Expert MLB Picks 9/27/2019

Friday, September 27, 2019

Globe Life Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Joe Palumbo

Elvis Andrus and the Texas Rangers (75-83, 3rd in AL West) host the New York Yankees (102-57, 1st in AL East) at Globe Life Park on Friday, September 27, 2019. The Rangers open this matchup at +229 while the Yankees are coming in at -250. The total is set at 11.

The Yankees have been a strong pick for bettors, having gone 102-57-0 SU. Texas is covering 47.5% of the time, going 75-83-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have been a good Over option for O/U wagerers, having gone 82-71-6.

New York is covering 56.6% of the time as the road team, having gone 43-33-0 straight up.

Important Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers cover 54.5% of the time at Globe Life Park, going 42-35-0 SU.

The Rangers have been a good Over option for O/U wagerers, having gone 72-82-4.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/25/2019 Gio Urshela 3B Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/25/2019 Edwin Encarnacion DH Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/24/2019 Aaron Hicks CF Elbow Out for the season
9/21/2019 Gary Sanchez C Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/19/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Out for the season
9/19/2019 Jonathan Holder RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/18/2019 Dellin Betances RP Achilles Out for the season
9/10/2019 Mike Tauchman LF Calf Out for the season
9/8/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Out for the season
9/1/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 David Hale RP Back Out for the season
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

9/26/2019 Shawn Kelley RP Groin Probable for Sep 26
9/26/2019 Logan Forsythe 1B Ribs Probable for Sep 26
9/26/2019 Brock Burke SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/26/2019 Jeff Mathis C Back Probable for Sep 26
9/25/2019 Willie Calhoun LF Forearm Probable for Sep 26
9/25/2019 Nomar Mazara RF Thumb Probable for Sep 26
9/24/2019 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/21/2019 Hunter Pence DH Back Out for the season
9/20/2019 Joey Gallo CF Wrist Out for the season
9/18/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Out for the season
8/26/2019 Jesse Chavez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Out for the season
5/13/2019 Nate Jones RP Forearm Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 102-57 overall record this season. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 15-6 record with an earned run average of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.27 this season. He has 185 strikeouts over his 149.2 innings pitched and he's given up 135 hits. He's allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.99 and they have given up 585 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 732 hitters and walked 256 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 1,344 base hits and 672 earned runs. They have allowed 244 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 491 batters and struck out 1,509. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.46.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .267, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .489 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Aaron Judge is hitting .272 with an on-base percentage of .382. He has 101 hits this season in 372 at bats with 54 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .530 and an OPS+ of 140. Brett Gardner is hitting .251 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .326. He has totaled 121 hits and he has driven in 72 men in 483 at bats. His OPS+ is 116 while his slugging percentage is at .501. The Yankees have 1,465 hits, including 285 doubles and 299 home runs. New York has walked 561 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,406 times as a unit. They have left 1,027 men on base and have a team OPS of .828. They score 5.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 924 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Texas has a 75-83 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 9.22, Joe Palumbo has a 0-2 record and a 1.68 WHIP. He has 14 strikeouts over the 13.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 16 hits. He's allowing 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.95. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 611 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Rangers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 607 batters and walked 272 opposing hitters. As a team, Texas allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 5.03. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,476 base knocks and 784 earned runs this season. They have given up 232 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Texas as a staff has walked 573 hitters and struck out 1,338 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 20th in the league. The Rangers hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Elvis Andrus comes into this matchup batting .274 with an OBP of .311. He has 160 hits this year along with 72 RBI in 584 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .396 with an OPS+ of 78. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .265 this season and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 146 hits in 550 at bats while driving in 59 runs. He has an OPS+ of 107 and a slugging percentage of .453. The Rangers as a unit have 1,337 base hits, including 288 doubles and 216 homers. Texas has walked 512 times this year and they have struck out on 1,547 occasions. They have had 1,037 men left on base and have an OPS of .747. They have scored 4.94 runs per game and totaled 781 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Rangers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rangers (+229)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald