New York Yankees at Texas Rangers Expert MLB Picks 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Globe Life Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. Edinson Volquez

Globe Life Park is the site where Shin-Soo Choo and the Texas Rangers (76-83, 3rd in AL West) will play the New York Yankees (102-57, 1st in AL East) on Saturday. The Yankees open this contest at -280 while the Rangers are priced at +230. The O/U opens at 10.5.

The Yankees have been a great choice for bettors, having gone 102-57-0 SU. The Rangers cover 47.8% of the time, going 76-83-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have been an inconsistent Under option for O/U bettors, having gone 82-71-6.

New York is covering 56.6% of the time as the away team, having gone 43-33-0 straight up.

Important Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers cover 55.1% of the time at Globe Life Park, going 43-35-0 SU.

The Rangers have been an inconsistent Under option for O/U bettors, having gone 73-82-4.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/25/2019 Edwin Encarnacion DH Oblique Probable for Sep 27
9/25/2019 Gio Urshela 3B Hand Probable for Sep 27
9/24/2019 Aaron Hicks CF Elbow Out for the season
9/21/2019 Gary Sanchez C Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/19/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Out for the season
9/19/2019 Jonathan Holder RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/18/2019 Dellin Betances RP Achilles Out for the season
9/10/2019 Mike Tauchman LF Calf Out for the season
9/8/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Out for the season
9/1/2019 David Hale RP Back Out for the season
9/1/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Out for the season
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

9/27/2019 Nomar Mazara RF Thumb Out for the season
9/27/2019 Jeff Mathis C Back Out for the season
9/26/2019 Logan Forsythe 1B Ribs Out for the season
9/26/2019 Brock Burke SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/26/2019 Shawn Kelley RP Groin Probable for Sep 27
9/24/2019 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/21/2019 Hunter Pence DH Back Out for the season
9/20/2019 Joey Gallo CF Wrist Out for the season
9/18/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Out for the season
8/26/2019 Jesse Chavez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Out for the season
5/13/2019 Nate Jones RP Forearm Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 102-57 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Luis Severino has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.78 this season. He has 13 strikeouts over his 9 innings pitched and he's given up 5 hits. He's allowed 5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 1.33. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.99 and they have given up 585 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 732 hitters and walked 256 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 1,344 base hits and 672 earned runs. They have allowed 244 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 491 batters and struck out 1,509. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.46.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .267, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .489 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Brett Gardner is hitting .251 with an on-base percentage of .326. He has 121 hits this season in 483 at bats with 72 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .501 and an OPS+ of 116. Aaron Judge is hitting .272 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .382. He has totaled 101 hits and he has driven in 54 men in 372 at bats. His OPS+ is 140 while his slugging percentage is at .530. The Yankees have 1,465 hits, including 285 doubles and 299 home runs. New York has walked 561 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,406 times as a unit. They have left 1,027 men on base and have a team OPS of .828. They score 5.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 924 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Texas has a 76-83 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 7.20, Edinson Volquez has a 0-1 record and a 2.07 WHIP. He has 9 strikeouts over the 15 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 19 hits. He's allowing 11.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.02. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 611 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Rangers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 608 batters and walked 272 opposing hitters. As a team, Texas allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 5.03. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,487 base knocks and 789 earned runs this season. They have given up 234 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Texas as a staff has walked 575 hitters and struck out 1,348 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 20th in the league. The Rangers hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Shin-Soo Choo comes into this matchup batting .264 with an OBP of .369. He has 146 hits this year along with 59 RBI in 552 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .451 with an OPS+ of 107. Elvis Andrus is hitting .274 this season and he has an OBP of .311. He has collected 161 hits in 588 at bats while driving in 72 runs. He has an OPS+ of 78 and a slugging percentage of .395. The Rangers as a unit have 1,344 base hits, including 289 doubles and 219 homers. Texas has walked 518 times this year and they have struck out on 1,553 occasions. They have had 1,043 men left on base and have an OPS of .748. They have scored 4.96 runs per game and totaled 788 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Rangers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rangers (+230)

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