New York Yankees at Texas Rangers Expert MLB Picks 9/29/2019

Sunday, September 29, 2019

Globe Life Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Masahiro Tanaka vs. Lance Lynn

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees (103-57, 1st in AL East) travel to Globe Life Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Texas Rangers (76-84, 3rd in AL West). The Yankees open this contest at -190 while the Rangers are priced at +178. The over/under opens at 10.5.

The Yankees have been lousy for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 103-57-0 SU. Texas covers 47.5% of the time, going 76-84-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have been a solid Over bet for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 83-71-6.

The Yankees cover 57.1% of the time as the away team, having gone 44-33-0 straight up.

Important Texas Rangers Betting Trends

Texas covers 54.4% of the time at Globe Life Park, going 43-36-0 SU.

The Rangers have been a solid Over bet for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 74-82-4.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/27/2019 James Paxton SP Lower Body Out for the season
9/27/2019 Edwin Encarnacion DH Oblique Probable for Sep 28
9/24/2019 Aaron Hicks CF Elbow Out for the season
9/19/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Out for the season
9/19/2019 Jonathan Holder RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/18/2019 Dellin Betances RP Achilles Out for the season
9/10/2019 Mike Tauchman LF Calf Out for the season
9/8/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Out for the season
9/1/2019 David Hale RP Back Out for the season
9/1/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Out for the season
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

9/27/2019 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/27/2019 Jeff Mathis C Back Out for the season
9/27/2019 Nomar Mazara RF Thumb Out for the season
9/27/2019 Shawn Kelley RP Groin Probable for Sep 28
9/27/2019 Brock Burke SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/26/2019 Logan Forsythe 1B Ribs Out for the season
9/21/2019 Hunter Pence DH Back Out for the season
9/20/2019 Joey Gallo CF Wrist Out for the season
9/18/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Out for the season
8/26/2019 Jesse Chavez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Out for the season
5/13/2019 Nate Jones RP Forearm Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 103-57 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Masahiro Tanaka has a 11-8 record with an earned run average of 4.47 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. He has 147 strikeouts over his 179 innings pitched and he's given up 181 hits. He's allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.00 and they have given up 593 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 741 hitters and walked 257 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 1,355 base hits and 678 earned runs. They have allowed 247 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 492 batters and struck out 1,519. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.47.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .492 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Aaron Judge is hitting .272 with an on-base percentage of .382. He has 101 hits this season in 372 at bats with 54 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .530 and an OPS+ of 140. Brett Gardner is hitting .253 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .327. He has totaled 123 hits and he has driven in 73 men in 487 at bats. His OPS+ is 118 while his slugging percentage is at .507. The Yankees have 1,483 hits, including 289 doubles and 305 home runs. New York has walked 566 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,417 times as a unit. They have left 1,033 men on base and have a team OPS of .832. They score 5.86 runs per contest and have scored a total of 938 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Texas has a 76-84 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.76, Lance Lynn has a 15-11 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 236 strikeouts over the 201 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 193 hits. He's allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 624 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Rangers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 612 batters and walked 276 opposing hitters. As a team, Texas allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.09. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,505 base knocks and 803 earned runs this season. They have given up 240 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Texas as a staff has walked 580 hitters and struck out 1,359 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.88.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 19th in the league. The Rangers hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Elvis Andrus comes into this matchup batting .275 with an OBP of .311. He has 163 hits this year along with 72 RBI in 593 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .395 with an OPS+ of 78. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .264 this season and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 147 hits in 557 at bats while driving in 61 runs. He has an OPS+ of 108 and a slugging percentage of .454. The Rangers as a unit have 1,355 base hits, including 292 doubles and 222 homers. Texas has walked 519 times this year and they have struck out on 1,563 occasions. They have had 1,048 men left on base and have an OPS of .749. They have scored 4.97 runs per game and totaled 795 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Rangers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rangers (+178)

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