New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Picks 9/14/2019

Saturday, September 14, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Jacob Waguespack

Rogers Centre is the site where Randal Grichuk and the Toronto Blue Jays (57-90, 4th in AL East) will take on the New York Yankees (97-51, 1st in AL East) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Yankees coming in at -225 and the Blue Jays are at +207. The O/U opens at 10.

The Yankees have been a strong bet for wagerers, having gone 97-51-0 SU. The Blue Jays cover 38.8% of the time, going 57-90-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have been an inconsistent Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 78-65-5.

The Yankees cover 59.2% of the time as the road team, having gone 42-29-0 straight up.

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays cover 40.3% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 29-43-0 SU.

The Blue Jays have been an inconsistent Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 66-75-6.

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/12/2019 Tommy Kahnle RP Hand Probable for Sep 13
9/12/2019 Gary Sanchez C Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/12/2019 Edwin Encarnacion DH Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/12/2019 J.A SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/10/2019 Mike Tauchman LF Calf Out for the season
9/10/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/8/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Out for the season
9/8/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Out for the season
9/8/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/8/2019 Aaron Hicks CF Elbow Out for the season
9/5/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/1/2019 Jonathan Holder RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 David Hale RP Back Out for the season
8/27/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/12/2019 Lourdes Gurriel LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/10/2019 Luke Maile C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 97-51 overall record this season. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 13-6 record with an earned run average of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.31 this season. He has 175 strikeouts over his 138.2 innings pitched and he's given up 129 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have given up 536 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 645 hitters and walked 236 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 1,256 base hits and 640 earned runs. They have allowed 231 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 465 batters and struck out 1,372. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.55.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .270, good for 3rd in the league. The Yankees hold a .493 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Aaron Judge is hitting .273 with an on-base percentage of .382. He has 92 hits this season in 337 at bats with 49 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .516 and an OPS+ of 137. Gleyber Torres is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .346. He has totaled 145 hits and he has driven in 85 men in 506 at bats. His OPS+ is 133 while his slugging percentage is at .547. The Yankees have 1,375 hits, including 264 doubles and 280 home runs. New York has walked 523 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,295 times as a unit. They have left 961 men on base and have a team OPS of .834. They score 5.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 864 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 57-90 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.55, Jacob Waguespack has a 4-4 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 48 strikeouts over the 63.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 60 hits. He's allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 590 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 648 batters and walked 284 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.71. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,301 base knocks and 679 earned runs this season. They have given up 199 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 549 hitters and struck out 1,190 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.77.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Randal Grichuk comes into this matchup batting .233 with an OBP of .283. He has 123 hits this year along with 66 RBI in 529 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .440 with an OPS+ of 90. Justin Smoak is hitting .210 this season and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 81 hits in 386 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 101 and a slugging percentage of .402. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,163 base hits, including 240 doubles and 219 homers. Toronto has walked 460 times this year and they have struck out on 1,353 occasions. They have had 902 men left on base and have an OPS of .725. They have scored 4.37 runs per game and totaled 643 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees (-225)

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