Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Baseball Betting Tips 7/3/2019

Wednesday, July 3, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Nick Pivetta vs. Bryse Wilson

SunTrust Park is the site where Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (50-35, 1st in NL East) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (44-40, 2nd in NL East) on Wednesday. The Braves open this game at -128 while the Phillies are priced at +118. The O/U is set at 10.5.

The Phillies have been solid for bettors, having gone 44-40-0 SU. Atlanta is covering 58.8% of the time, going 50-35-0 straight up. The Braves have been excellent for MLB wagerers as the favorite, going 38-19-0 SU. Philadelphia has gone 8-15-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 34.8% of the time.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have been a less than ideal Over option for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 39-42-3.

Philadelphia is covering 42.5% of the time as the road team, having gone 17-23-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves are covering 58.5% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 24-17-0 SU.

The Braves have been a very good Over option for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 46-35-4.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

6/30/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/30/2019 Jay Bruce LF Elbow Probable for Jul 2
6/30/2019 J.T C Hamstring Probable for Jul 2
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
6/22/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/22/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/14/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

7/1/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/30/2019 Anthony Swarzak RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/30/2019 Ozzie Albies 2B Elbow Probable for Jul 2
6/26/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/24/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 2

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 44-40 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Nick Pivetta has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 5.63 and a WHIP of 1.52 this season. He has 48 strikeouts over his 56 innings pitched and he's given up 67 hits. He's allowed 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.79 and they have given up 295 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen and they've struck out 283 hitters and walked 118 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 770 base hits and 384 earned runs. They have allowed 142 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 282 batters and struck out 706. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 5.04.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .244, good for 21st in the league. The Phillies hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .284 with an on-base percentage of .339. He has 88 hits this season in 310 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .429 and an OPS+ of 98. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .261 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .393. He has totaled 77 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 295 at bats. His OPS+ is 136 while his slugging percentage is at .522. The Phillies have 695 hits, including 160 doubles and 107 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 314 times so far this season and they have struck out 723 times as a unit. They have left 582 men on base and have a team OPS of .746. They score 4.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 412 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 50-35 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 8.31, Bryse Wilson has a 0-0 record and a 1.85 WHIP. He has 10 strikeouts over the 8.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 11 hits. He's allowing 11.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.63. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.81 and they have given up 291 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 339 batters and walked 146 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 735 base knocks and 361 earned runs this season. They have given up 107 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 313 hitters and struck out 730 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.52.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .312 with an OBP of .399. He has 104 hits this year along with 65 RBI in 333 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .592 with an OPS+ of 150. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .295 this season and he has an OBP of .376. He has collected 100 hits in 339 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 126 and a slugging percentage of .513. The Braves as a unit have 779 base hits, including 149 doubles and 132 homers. Atlanta has walked 306 times this year and they have struck out on 733 occasions. They have had 598 men left on base and have an OPS of .799. They have scored 5.42 runs per game and totaled 461 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves -128

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