Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves MLB Game Picks 9/19/2019
Thursday, September 19, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Mike Soroka
Rhys Hoskins and the Philadelphia Phillies (77-72, 3rd in NL East) are headed to SunTrust Park on Thursday where they'll meet the Atlanta Braves (93-59, 1st in NL East). The Phillies open this contest at +125 while the Braves are coming in at -135. The over/under has been set at 9.
The Phillies have been good for baseball wagerers, having gone 77-72-0 SU. Atlanta is covering 61.2% of the time, going 93-59-0 straight up.
Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have been a solid Over option for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 68-77-4.
Philadelphia is covering 47.9% of the time as the visitor, having gone 34-37-0 straight up.
Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
Atlanta is covering 61.8% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 47-29-0 SU.
The Braves have been a solid Over option for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 71-73-8.
Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
9/17/2019 Corey Dickerson LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/17/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/17/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/17/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/10/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/1/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
9/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/17/2019 Charlie Culberson LF Face Out for the season
9/13/2019 Johan Camargo SS Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/12/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/5/2019 Alex Jackson C Knee Out for the season
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Phillies have a 77-72 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has a 12-5 record with an earned run average of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. He has 216 strikeouts over his 191.2 innings pitched and he's given up 162 hits. He's allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 535 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the bullpen and they've struck out 522 hitters and walked 218 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 1,345 base hits and 675 earned runs. They have allowed 239 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 504 batters and struck out 1,271. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.92.
Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games
As a team Philadelphia is hitting .247, good for 19th in the league. The Phillies hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .239 with an on-base percentage of .376. He has 126 hits this season in 527 at bats with 83 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .486 and an OPS+ of 120. Bryce Harper is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 134 hits and he has driven in 102 men in 526 at bats. His OPS+ is 121 while his slugging percentage is at .492. The Phillies have 1,267 hits, including 286 doubles and 198 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 531 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,330 times as a unit. They have left 1,048 men on base and have a team OPS of .751. They score 4.86 runs per contest and have scored a total of 724 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta has a 93-59 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.57, Mike Soroka has a 12-4 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 130 strikeouts over the 164.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 141 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.32 and they have given up 524 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 549 batters and walked 240 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,337 base knocks and 639 earned runs this season. They have given up 194 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 532 hitters and struck out 1,300 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Ronald Acuna Jr comes into this matchup batting .277 with an OBP of .361. He has 170 hits this year along with 97 RBI in 613 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .509 with an OPS+ of 118. Freddie Freeman is hitting .301 this season and he has an OBP of .395. He has collected 173 hits in 575 at bats while driving in 117 runs. He has an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .565. The Braves as a unit have 1,352 base hits, including 265 doubles and 237 homers. Atlanta has walked 581 times this year and they have struck out on 1,372 occasions. They have had 1,065 men left on base and have an OPS of .794. They have scored 5.33 runs per game and totaled 810 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Phillies/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves (-135)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks