Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves MLB Tips 7/4/2019
Thursday, July 4, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Zach Eflin vs. Mike Soroka
Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (50-36, 1st in NL East) host the Philadelphia Phillies (45-40, 2nd in NL East) at SunTrust Park on Thursday, July 4, 2019. The line on this contest has the Phillies coming in at +130 and the Braves are at -140. The over/under has been set at 10.5.
The Phillies have been a solid choice for baseball wagerers, having gone 45-40-0 SU. Atlanta is covering 58.1% of the time, going 50-36-0 straight up. The Braves have been a very good option for MLB wagerers as a favorite, going 38-20-0 SU. Philadelphia has gone 9-15-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 37.5% of the time.
Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have been a dicey Over bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 39-43-3.
Philadelphia is covering 43.9% of the time away from home, having gone 18-23-0 straight up.
Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves are covering 57.1% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 24-18-0 SU.
The Braves have been a great Over bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 46-36-4.
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
6/30/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
6/22/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/22/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/14/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
7/2/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/1/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/30/2019 Anthony Swarzak RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/26/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Phillies have a 45-40 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zach Eflin has a 7-7 record with an earned run average of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.25 this season. He has 80 strikeouts over his 97 innings pitched and he's given up 97 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.44. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.77 and they have given up 295 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen and they've struck out 286 hitters and walked 118 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 774 base hits and 384 earned runs. They have allowed 142 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 285 batters and struck out 717. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 5.01.
As a team Philadelphia is hitting .244, good for 21st in the league. The Phillies hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .283 with an on-base percentage of .338. He has 89 hits this season in 314 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .427 and an OPS+ of 97. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .263 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .397. He has totaled 78 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 297 at bats. His OPS+ is 136 while his slugging percentage is at .522. The Phillies have 702 hits, including 162 doubles and 107 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 317 times so far this season and they have struck out 727 times as a unit. They have left 589 men on base and have a team OPS of .744. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 414 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta has a 50-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.13, Mike Soroka has a 9-1 record and a 0.98 WHIP. He has 67 strikeouts over the 84.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 64 hits. He's allowing 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 293 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 340 batters and walked 147 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 742 base knocks and 363 earned runs this season. They have given up 107 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 316 hitters and struck out 734 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.51.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .458 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .309 with an OBP of .395. He has 104 hits this year along with 65 RBI in 337 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .585 with an OPS+ of 147. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 100 hits in 342 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .509. The Braves as a unit have 783 base hits, including 150 doubles and 132 homers. Atlanta has walked 309 times this year and they have struck out on 744 occasions. They have had 604 men left on base and have an OPS of .794. They have scored 5.36 runs per game and totaled 461 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Phillies/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves -140
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