Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox Baseball Betting Tips 8/21/2019

Wednesday, August 21, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Drew Smyly vs. Rick Porcello

Fenway Park is the site where Mookie Betts and the Boston Red Sox (67-59, 3rd in AL East) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (64-60, 4th in NL East) on Wednesday. The Phillies open this game at +145 while the Red Sox are coming in at -155. The total is set at 12.

The Phillies have been a decent choice for wagerers, having gone 64-60-0 SU. The Red Sox are covering 53.2% of the time, going 67-59-0 straight up.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have been a hot and cold Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 58-63-3.

Philadelphia is covering 44.8% of the time as the road team, having gone 26-32-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

Boston is covering 52.4% of the time at Fenway Park, going 33-30-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been a very good Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 74-49-3.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jay Bruce LF Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/18/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/17/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
7/30/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/30/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
7/12/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

8/20/2019 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Steven Wright RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/19/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/18/2019 David Price SP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/16/2019 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 64-60 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Drew Smyly has a 2-6 record with an earned run average of 7.09 and a WHIP of 1.66 this season. He has 82 strikeouts over his 80 innings pitched and he's given up 90 hits. He's allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 440 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen and they've struck out 434 hitters and walked 175 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 1,123 base hits and 567 earned runs. They have allowed 202 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 417 batters and struck out 1,050. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.96.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .246, good for 21st in the league. The Phillies hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. J.T. Realmuto is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .330. He has 120 hits this season in 429 at bats with 66 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .485 and an OPS+ of 106. Bryce Harper is hitting .254 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .374. He has totaled 115 hits and he has driven in 90 men in 453 at bats. His OPS+ is 120 while his slugging percentage is at .492. The Phillies have 1,045 hits, including 231 doubles and 158 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 441 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,091 times as a unit. They have left 876 men on base and have a team OPS of .742. They score 4.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 592 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 67-59 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.49, Rick Porcello has a 11-9 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 109 strikeouts over the 139.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 158 hits. He's allowing 10.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 440 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 574 batters and walked 221 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.72. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,117 base knocks and 601 earned runs this season. They have given up 171 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 445 hitters and struck out 1,260 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.29.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .277, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .481 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.9 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .285 with an OBP of .390. He has 140 hits this year along with 65 RBI in 492 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .504 with an OPS+ of 129. Rafael Devers is hitting .332 this season and he has an OBP of .380. He has collected 167 hits in 503 at bats while driving in 101 runs. He has an OPS+ of 146 and a slugging percentage of .596. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,255 base hits, including 285 doubles and 198 homers. Boston has walked 468 times this year and they have struck out on 1,070 occasions. They have had 928 men left on base and have an OPS of .828. They have scored 5.79 runs per game and totaled 735 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox (-155)

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